{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5870","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:29.954617+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"5870","name":"Daniel Jones","team":"IND","pos":"QB","age":29,"exp":7,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":12.67,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":12.668088888888889,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":261,"adp":211.5,"adp_pr":25,"ly":{"pts":224.4,"g":13,"through_week":14,"passing_yards":3101.0,"passing_tds":19.0,"interceptions":8.0,"carries":45.0,"rushing_yards":164.0,"rushing_tds":5.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":150.0,"rushing_first_downs":21.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":3.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":17.26,"ypc":3.6,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":3265.0,"ypg":251.2,"touches":45.0,"first_downs":21.0,"xfp":36.9,"xfp_diff":null,"xfp_through_week":14,"xfp_coverage":"partial"},"adv":{"snap_pct":91.5,"pass_time_to_throw":2.7,"pass_adot":8.22,"pass_aggressiveness":17.71,"pass_cpoe":3.62,"pass_air_to_sticks":-0.58,"pass_rating":100.18,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":19.9,"pass_bad_throw_pct":12.0,"rec_drop_pct":null},"ytd":{"pts":64.7,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":1398.0,"passing_tds":4.0,"interceptions":7.0,"carries":21.0,"rushing_yards":68.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":70.0,"rushing_first_downs":12.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":3.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":9.24,"ypc":3.2,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":1466.0,"ypg":209.4,"touches":21.0,"first_downs":12.0,"xfp":14.7,"xfp_diff":-1.9,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":100.0,"pass_time_to_throw":2.82,"pass_adot":7.75,"pass_aggressiveness":14.17,"pass_cpoe":-2.15,"pass_air_to_sticks":-1.23,"pass_rating":69.41,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":22.7,"pass_bad_throw_pct":15.9,"rec_drop_pct":null}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"5870","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:29.960124+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Indianapolis got a 17.9 point-per-game season from Jones across 13 starts, and the quality metrics say it was earned, an 88th-percentile 3.38 CPOE, an 86th-percentile aggressiveness rate, a 100.2 passer rating, and five rushing touchdowns supplying the fantasy finish. Accurate and aggressive at the same time is the combination that separates a real revival from a caretaker season riding checkdowns, and he showed both. The market has priced in almost none of it, letting him go QB25 near pick 170 against a QB24 consensus projection, two or three rounds after quarterbacks he outscored per game last year. The discount rests on legitimate concerns: he carries a Questionable tag into camp, he made 13 starts rather than 17, and the projection itself hedges to 251 points on the assumption the efficiency will not fully repeat. The per-game record says the upside is top-12 when he plays, and availability is the entire question you are being paid to accept.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Daniel Jones solid in overtime loss Sunday — Jones didn't have a spectacular showing on Sunday night, but he was pretty solid and limited mistakes for Indianapolis' offense. That was almost enough for them to pick up a road win over Kansas City, but they ended up narrowly losing in overtime. The veteran quarterback shouldn't be rostered in most league formats at this point.","latest_at":"2026-09-21T16:13:10+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-22T09:00:23.628001+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"solid in overtime loss; limited mistakes; shouldn't be rostered; veteran quarterback; pretty solid","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.8,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-22T09:20:35.805972+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-07-18","source":"curves-v1"}}}