{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5844","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:47.703709+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"5844","name":"T.J. Hockenson","team":"MIN","pos":"TE","age":29,"exp":7,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":15.6,"ros_ppg":8.22,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":8.215300000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":109,"adp":184.5,"adp_pr":20,"ly":{"pts":87.3,"g":15,"through_week":16,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":66.0,"receptions":51.0,"receiving_yards":438.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":15.6,"ppg":5.82,"ypc":0.0,"ypt":6.6,"ypr":8.6,"catch_pct":77.3,"total_yd":438.0,"ypg":29.2,"touches":52.0,"first_downs":22.0,"xfp":83.5,"xfp_diff":3.8,"xfp_through_week":16,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":77.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.76,"rec_avg_cushion":6.08,"rec_adot":4.76,"rec_air_share":8.26,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.12,"rec_catch_pct":77.27,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.5},"ytd":{"pts":49.2,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":32.0,"receptions":27.0,"receiving_yards":237.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":15.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":20.9,"ppg":8.2,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.4,"ypr":8.8,"catch_pct":84.4,"total_yd":237.0,"ypg":39.5,"touches":27.0,"first_downs":15.0,"xfp":44.0,"xfp_diff":5.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":63.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.21,"rec_avg_cushion":6.1,"rec_adot":6.5,"rec_air_share":18.21,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.71,"rec_catch_pct":84.38,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"5844","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:47.706532+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Markets overcorrect, and T.J. Hockenson at a 159 half-PPR ADP, TE27, reads like an overcorrection. The consensus still makes him the TE20 with 64 catches, seven spots ahead of his price, and the surviving role supports it: a 78 percent snap share that ranked 14th among tight ends and a 14.2 percent target share across 15 games of a plainly bad year. The bad year lives mostly in how he was used. Minnesota threw him a 4.8-yard aDOT (20th percentile) with a 29th-percentile air-yards share, his 8.6 yards per reception sat 33rd of 37 qualifiers, and he added nothing after the catch at minus-0.15 YAC over expected, yet he still caught 77 percent of what came his way. The picture is a player whose route depth was taken away rather than his place on the field, and at 29 you can argue either direction about which comes back first. Clearing a fourteenth-round price doesn't require the old downfield Hockenson, just 60-odd catches, and the snap count says the targets still run through him.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"T.J. Hockenson placed in concussion protocol  — Hockenson left Sunday's game early against the Saints. His status heading into Week 6 is up in the air. ","latest_at":"2026-10-12T18:26:39+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":2.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"concussion protocol; left game early; status heading week 6; up in the air","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-13T09:19:16.094099+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":3.4987386934308384,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}