# Tanner Hudson — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5409 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5409", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.237763+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "5409", "name": "Tanner Hudson", "team": "CIN", "pos": "TE", "age": 31, "exp": 8, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 3.67, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 3.6698994291025535, "source": "fallback", "captured_at": null, "covered_weeks": [], "missing_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 0, "adp": 475.5, "adp_pr": 81, "ly": { "pts": 38.3, "g": 10, "through_week": 17, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 24.0, "receptions": 19.0, "receiving_yards": 168.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 8.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 6.5, "ppg": 3.83, "ypc": null, "ypt": 7.0, "ypr": 8.8, "catch_pct": 79.2, "total_yd": 168.0, "ypg": 16.8, "touches": 19.0, "first_downs": 8.0, "xfp": 33.4, "xfp_diff": 4.9, "xfp_through_week": 17, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 14.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 12.8, "g": 4, "through_week": 5, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 7.0, "receptions": 7.0, "receiving_yards": 33.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 2.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 4.5, "ppg": 3.2, "ypc": null, "ypt": 4.7, "ypr": 4.7, "catch_pct": 100.0, "total_yd": 33.0, "ypg": 8.2, "touches": 7.0, "first_downs": 2.0, "xfp": 11.4, "xfp_diff": 1.4, "xfp_through_week": 5, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 25.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "5409", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.241308+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Snap counts are the entire story with Hudson, and they explain why his 457 ADP and 22.8-point consensus projection, below even last year's part-time pace, price him as an afterthought. He played 14.7 percent of Cincinnati's snaps in 2025, next to last among qualified tight ends, yet averaged 2.4 targets and 3.8 half-PPR points a game over ten appearances, catching 19 of 24 targets without a drop. That's a player who earns work nearly every time he runs a route and then watches most of the game from the sideline. Cincinnati projects fifth in the league by implied totals, so the offense could feed a bigger role if the staff wanted one, but he's 31 and sits fourth on the depth chart, which suggests the Bengals have already decided how they want to use him.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Tanner Hudson (pectoral) to miss rest of the season — After hauling in his first touchdown pass of the campaign in Week 5, Hudson is dealing with a torn pectoral that will force him out for the remainder of the season. Erick All Jr. saw an uptick in snaps after Hudson left Sunday's game. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-13T14:26:06+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 3, "llm_weeks_out": 18.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "torn pectoral; miss rest of the season; first touchdown pass; uptick in snaps; season-ending", "llm_role_change": -1, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:04:06.214194+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```