# Kendrick Bourne — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4454 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4454", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.507812+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "4454", "name": "Kendrick Bourne", "team": "ARI", "pos": "WR", "age": 31, "exp": 9, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 6.73, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 6.732666666666668, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 39, "adp": 672.6, "adp_pr": 378, "ly": { "pts": 73.6, "g": 14, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 53.0, "receptions": 37.0, "receiving_yards": 551.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 27.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 11.5, "ppg": 5.26, "ypc": null, "ypt": 10.4, "ypr": 14.9, "catch_pct": 69.8, "total_yd": 551.0, "ypg": 39.4, "touches": 37.0, "first_downs": 27.0, "xfp": 71.5, "xfp_diff": 2.1, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 56.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.82, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.57, "rec_adot": 10.66, "rec_air_share": 13.79, "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.68, "rec_catch_pct": 69.81, "rec_drops": 6.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 11.3 }, "ytd": { "pts": 35.9, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 36.0, "receptions": 25.0, "receiving_yards": 234.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 11.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 15.2, "ppg": 5.98, "ypc": null, "ypt": 6.5, "ypr": 9.4, "catch_pct": 69.4, "total_yd": 234.0, "ypg": 39.0, "touches": 25.0, "first_downs": 11.0, "xfp": 43.7, "xfp_diff": -7.8, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 58.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.72, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.7, "rec_adot": 5.47, "rec_air_share": 9.84, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.28, "rec_catch_pct": 69.44, "rec_drops": 3.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 8.3 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "4454", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.513911+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "A 30-year-old with the worst drop rate among qualified receivers should not also be one of the most efficient, and Bourne's 2025 managed both at once. He dropped 11.3 percent of his catchable targets, first at the position, yet averaged 10.4 yards per target, 92nd percentile, and 14.9 per catch, with an 89th percentile YAC over expected doing much of the lifting. San Francisco got 551 yards from him on 53 targets without a single touchdown, and his output landed almost exactly on his expected points, so there is no luck to unwind in either direction. Arizona is the complication in an otherwise clean profile. The Cardinals' average implied total of 18.3 sits 32nd on the early lines, dead last, and a third-receiver job in the league's worst-projected scoring environment caps whatever the per-target juice is worth. Consensus sees 39 points, the market takes him at 358, and both feel like fair readings of an aging receiver who can still create after the catch but now works in the least promising offense on the board.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Kendrick Bourne leads team in receiving Sunday — Bourne was a bright spot for the Cardinals on Sunday. He led the team with 70 total receiving yards over the course of the game, although he wasn't able to get into the end zone at all, so his fantasy total remained mediocre. He will continue to be a highly involved member of this passing game moving forward with Marvin Harrison Jr. now out of town for the Cardinals.", "latest_at": "2026-10-12T15:56:39+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "leads team in receiving; highly involved member; marvin harrison jr out; bright spot; 70 total receiving yards", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:23:44.968171+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865, "as_of": "2026-10-12", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```