{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4147","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:12.918130+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"4147","name":"Samaje Perine","team":"CIN","pos":"RB","age":31,"exp":9,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.4,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.4003000000000005,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":87,"adp":629.6,"adp_pr":199,"ly":{"pts":69.4,"g":15,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":84.0,"rushing_yards":382.0,"rushing_tds":3.0,"targets":21.0,"receptions":17.0,"receiving_yards":87.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":32.0,"receiving_first_downs":5.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":3.9,"ppg":4.63,"ypc":4.5,"ypt":4.1,"ypr":5.1,"catch_pct":81.0,"total_yd":469.0,"ypg":31.3,"touches":101.0,"first_downs":37.0,"xfp":75.7,"xfp_diff":-2.3,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":35.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.56,"rush_yac_att":1.99,"rush_broken_tackles":4.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.8},"ytd":{"pts":34.2,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":31.0,"rushing_yards":126.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":10.0,"receptions":7.0,"receiving_yards":61.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":11.0,"receiving_first_downs":4.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":4.7,"ppg":5.7,"ypc":4.1,"ypt":6.1,"ypr":8.7,"catch_pct":70.0,"total_yd":187.0,"ypg":31.2,"touches":38.0,"first_downs":15.0,"xfp":31.8,"xfp_diff":2.4,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":35.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"4147","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:13.030934+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"At 30 and entering his tenth season, Samaje Perine somehow owns one of the wider projection-to-price gaps in the late rounds. Consensus scores him RB52 with 87.6 half-PPR points on 99 carries and 18 catches, and drafts let him go at pick 260 as the RB74, a 22-spot discount to his own projection. The 2025 season supports the boring competence being projected: 4.5 yards per carry on a balanced before-and-after-contact split, 101 touches across 15 games, and scoring within eight percent of what his usage predicted. Two lost fumbles, more than nearly anyone at the position, are the blemish on an otherwise steady line. Cincinnati improves every part of the math, fifth in the league by implied team totals at 25.6 with a Week 1 implied 27 at home against Tampa Bay. Veteran committee backs in high-scoring offenses are the classic source of quiet weekly points, and here the market is handing one over at essentially no cost.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Samaje Perine (illness) on the sidelines Friday — Perine has missed Thursday's practice as well due to an illness. The veteran back was a significant part of the Bengals' offense in Week 1, rushing for 20 yards on five carries and grabbing three passes for 30 yards. Perine still has a couple of days to get ready for Sunday's matchup with the Texans. 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