# James Conner — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4137 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4137", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:58.199787+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "4137", "name": "James Conner", "team": "ARI", "pos": "RB", "age": 31, "exp": 9, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 1.52, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 1.5163725490196078, "source": "sleeper_future+fallback", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [ 8 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 40, "adp": 231.9, "adp_pr": 66, "ly": { "pts": 29.3, "g": 3, "through_week": 3, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 32.0, "rushing_yards": 95.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 9.0, "receptions": 8.0, "receiving_yards": 38.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 7.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 10.2, "ppg": 9.77, "ypc": 3.0, "ypt": 4.2, "ypr": 4.8, "catch_pct": 88.9, "total_yd": 133.0, "ypg": 44.3, "touches": 40.0, "first_downs": 11.0, "xfp": 34.5, "xfp_diff": -5.2, "xfp_through_week": 3, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 50.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 3.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": null, "adv_ytd": null }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "4137", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:58.202414+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "A round-eight standard price, pick 92 and RB39, is currently attached to a 31-year-old coming off a three-game season, carrying a questionable tag, listed third on Arizona's depth chart, in the offense Vegas ranks last by implied team totals at 18.3 points a game. The market is drafting the name and the memory, because projection support is nowhere near that cost: consensus says 52.6 points, RB67, with 42.5 projected carries reading more like a change-of-pace cameo than a comeback. His three healthy games in 2025 were genuinely productive, 9.8 points a game, so the talent question is less settled than the durability one. Half-PPR drafters price him far more honestly at RB51 around pick 152, still ahead of the projection but at least in its neighborhood, and in standard I'd simply let someone else pay a top-40 price. Nothing in the injury data promises missed games, the questionable designation is the extent of what's documented, but at his age, behind two backs, in that offense, the burden of proof sits entirely with the optimists.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "James Conner (foot) placed on injured reserve/designated to return — Conner had been working his way back to during training camp. He will miss at least the first four games of the regular season. ", "latest_at": "2026-08-30T22:45:23+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-08-31T10:00:03.312377+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 4.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "placed on injured reserve; designated to return; miss at least four games; foot injury", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-08-31T10:07:12.872818+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```