{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4066","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:35.821173+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"4066","name":"Evan Engram","team":"DEN","pos":"TE","age":32,"exp":9,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.32,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.32388888888889,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":90,"adp":699.6,"adp_pr":252,"ly":{"pts":77.8,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":7.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":76.0,"receptions":50.0,"receiving_yards":461.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":19.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":13.5,"ppg":4.86,"ypc":7.0,"ypt":6.1,"ypr":9.2,"catch_pct":65.8,"total_yd":468.0,"ypg":29.2,"touches":51.0,"first_downs":19.0,"xfp":87.4,"xfp_diff":-9.6,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":42.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":4.58,"rec_avg_cushion":6.78,"rec_adot":4.29,"rec_air_share":7.45,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.0,"rec_catch_pct":65.79,"rec_drops":8.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.5},"ytd":{"pts":26.1,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":22.0,"receptions":13.0,"receiving_yards":136.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":11.2,"ppg":3.73,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.2,"ypr":10.5,"catch_pct":59.1,"total_yd":136.0,"ypg":19.4,"touches":13.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":27.7,"xfp_diff":-1.6,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":54.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.72,"rec_avg_cushion":5.32,"rec_adot":6.06,"rec_air_share":10.61,"rec_yac_above_exp":-1.35,"rec_catch_pct":59.09,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.5}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"4066","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:35.826318+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Engram got more open than any tight end in football last year, with 4.58 yards of average separation and a 6.77 cushion that both ranked first among qualified tight ends, largely because Denver threw to him 4.3 yards downfield on average, the shallowest aDOT of any qualified TE. That combination should produce a near-automatic catch rate, and instead he caught 65.8 percent with eight drops, a 10.5 percent drop rate that ranked third worst at the position. He drew 76 targets, a 13 percent share, on just 42 percent of the snaps, usage worth about 87 expected points, and scored 78 with one touchdown all season. What's left is a 31-year-old part-timer catching wide-open flips and leaving points on the field, in an offense Vegas prices 25th by implied totals at 21.3. The consensus projection of roughly 90 points (half-PPR) at TE30 assumes the role holds and the drops regress, which is plausible, and at an ADP of 254 you pay nothing to find out. Just know the upside case needs either more snaps or more touchdowns, and 2025 offered no evidence of either.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Evan Engram quiet in loss Sunday — Engram had another disappointing performance despite seeing five targets. Turning those opportunities into just one catch for six yards isn't going to get it done for fantasy managers. The target volume at least gives him something to build on, but Engram will be difficult to trust in 12-team leagues or shallower until he starts producing more with his opportunities.","latest_at":"2026-10-05T19:03:07+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-06T19:00:45.612292+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"quiet in loss; disappointing performance; five targets; one catch; difficult to trust","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-06T19:08:03.675220+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}