{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4039","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:07.296022+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"4039","name":"Cooper Kupp","team":"SEA","pos":"WR","age":33,"exp":9,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.03,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.032888888888889,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":101,"adp":203.7,"adp_pr":70,"ly":{"pts":90.8,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":1.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":70.0,"receptions":47.0,"receiving_yards":593.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":26.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":16.2,"ppg":5.67,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.5,"ypr":12.6,"catch_pct":67.1,"total_yd":593.0,"ypg":37.1,"touches":47.0,"first_downs":26.0,"xfp":96.3,"xfp_diff":-1.5,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":75.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.03,"rec_avg_cushion":6.14,"rec_adot":8.26,"rec_air_share":15.29,"rec_yac_above_exp":2.13,"rec_catch_pct":67.14,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.7},"ytd":{"pts":34.9,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":27.0,"receptions":18.0,"receiving_yards":199.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":12.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":12.6,"ppg":4.99,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.4,"ypr":11.1,"catch_pct":66.7,"total_yd":199.0,"ypg":28.4,"touches":18.0,"first_downs":12.0,"xfp":36.8,"xfp_diff":-1.9,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":68.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.44,"rec_avg_cushion":6.66,"rec_adot":8.89,"rec_air_share":14.77,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.32,"rec_catch_pct":66.67,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"4039","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:07.299819+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Age is the entire case against Kupp, because the 2025 numbers don't show a finished player. In his first Seattle season he posted 2.07 yards of YAC over expected per catch, fourth-best among qualified receivers, alongside a 67% catch rate and 8.5 yards per target (71st percentile). The usage was steady rather than spiky, 4.4 targets a game with his top two weeks accounting for only 26% of his scoring, and he finished within five points of his expected total, so nothing about the year depended on luck. The market now takes him at WR95, pick 225 in half-PPR, while the consensus projection says WR69 on roughly a repeat of last season's line with normal touchdown fortune, all inside a Seattle offense that ranks ninth by implied totals. At 33 and third on the depth chart the ceiling is honestly capped, but a 26-rank gap between price and projection on a player whose efficiency held up is the sort of thing final-round picks exist for.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Cooper Kupp (back) available to play Sunday — Kupp is going to play on Sunday. He was dealing with a back injury earlier in the week, but it's nothing serious at this point and won't affect his availability against the Commanders. He isn't expected to be a good fantasy option in this matchup, however, even with Sam Darnold (glute) set to make his return for the Seahawks.","latest_at":"2026-09-25T20:54:01+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-27T09:00:23.404300+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"available to play sunday; nothing serious; not good fantasy option; back injury earlier; sam darnold set to return","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-27T09:06:07.152130+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-09-24","source":"curves-v1"}}}