{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4037","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.639788+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"4037","name":"Chris Godwin Jr.","team":"TB","pos":"WR","age":30,"exp":9,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":6.3,"ros_ppg":8.23,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":8.23066666666667,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":142,"adp":89.5,"adp_pr":37,"ly":{"pts":64.5,"g":9,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":51.0,"receptions":33.0,"receiving_yards":360.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":21.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.3,"ppg":7.17,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":10.9,"catch_pct":64.7,"total_yd":360.0,"ypg":40.0,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":21.0,"xfp":69.5,"xfp_diff":-5.0,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":70.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.9,"rec_avg_cushion":6.45,"rec_adot":7.65,"rec_air_share":8.97,"rec_yac_above_exp":2.25,"rec_catch_pct":64.71,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.0},"ytd":{"pts":39.6,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":3.0,"rushing_yards":18.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":34.0,"receptions":27.0,"receiving_yards":243.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":13.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":17.2,"ppg":5.66,"ypc":6.0,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":9.0,"catch_pct":79.4,"total_yd":261.0,"ypg":37.3,"touches":30.0,"first_downs":14.0,"xfp":39.1,"xfp_diff":0.5,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":82.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":4.31,"rec_avg_cushion":7.35,"rec_adot":3.47,"rec_air_share":8.14,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.12,"rec_catch_pct":79.41,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.9}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"4037","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.684369+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"What's left of Chris Godwin's game showed up clearly in his nine games last season. Tampa Bay used him almost exclusively underneath, a 7.8-yard aDOT in the 15th percentile and an air-yards share in the 6th percentile, and once the ball was in his hands he was still special, 2.2 yards of YAC over expected per catch, second best among all qualifiers. The volume never came back with him, though, as a 9.4 percent target share on 5.7 targets per game produced 7.2 points a game, and nearly half his season total came from his best two weeks. At pick 93 and WR41 in half-PPR against a WR42 consensus projection, he's about as efficiently priced as a veteran gets, which means you're drafting a role-recovery bet rather than a discount. There are pieces for that bet, starting with an offense carrying a top-13 implied team total on early lines, and the charting says the after-catch skill survived the injury-shortened year intact. A 30-year-old slot receiver who still wins with the ball in his hands can absorb targets in a hurry if the role reopens.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Chris Godwin Jr. (ankle) off injury report for Sunday — Godwin will be available to play on Sunday after logging a full practice on both Thursday and Friday. He shouldn't have any limitations but still doesn't project to be a good fantasy option against the Packers, especially with rookie Jalon Daniels starting at quarterback for the Buccaneers.","latest_at":"2026-10-02T20:15:55+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-04T09:00:46.266132+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"off injury report; available to play; no limitations; not a good fantasy option; rookie jalon daniels","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-04T09:11:11.348864+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-01","source":"curves-v1"}}}