{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4033","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:16.220460+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"4033","name":"David Njoku","team":"LAC","pos":"TE","age":30,"exp":9,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":3.23,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":3.226248508215215,"source":"sleeper_future+fallback","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[8],"remaining_games":10},"proj":86,"adp":223.4,"adp_pr":26,"ly":{"pts":69.8,"g":11,"through_week":14,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":48.0,"receptions":33.0,"receiving_yards":293.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":11.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":12.5,"ppg":6.35,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.1,"ypr":8.9,"catch_pct":68.8,"total_yd":293.0,"ypg":26.6,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":11.0,"xfp":61.5,"xfp_diff":8.3,"xfp_through_week":14,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":63.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.71,"rec_avg_cushion":5.68,"rec_adot":4.99,"rec_air_share":6.92,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.81,"rec_catch_pct":68.75,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.1},"ytd":{"pts":9.7,"g":2,"through_week":2,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":8.0,"receptions":6.0,"receiving_yards":67.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":15.1,"ppg":4.85,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.4,"ypr":11.2,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":67.0,"ypg":33.5,"touches":6.0,"first_downs":3.0,"xfp":9.5,"xfp_diff":0.2,"xfp_through_week":2,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":35.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":12.5}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"4033","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:16.222848+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"A move to the Chargers lists David Njoku second on the depth chart, and standard-scoring drafters haven't processed it, still spending pick 131, TE24, on a player the consensus projects 33rd at the position with 75 points, while half-PPR rooms sit closer to the truth at an ADP of 172. The 2025 charting explains the pessimism better than his box score does. Njoku posted the worst average separation among qualified tight ends at 2.66 yards, an 11th-percentile air-yards share, 6.1 yards per target (11th percentile), and a bottom-quartile catch rate, all at age 30 across an 11-game season. What survives is the after-catch burst, 0.8 YAC over expected in the 77th percentile, and a nose for the end zone with four scores in limited work. Name-brand tight ends in new uniforms get drafted on memory every summer, and this looks like the 2026 edition. A touchdown-vulture outcome inside a top-12 implied offense keeps him relevant in deep leagues, which is about the ceiling the separation numbers will support.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"David Njoku (knee) placed on IR — Njoku was carted off the field in Sunday's game against the Raiders. With Charlie Kolar (forearm) also placed on IR, Oronde Gadsden is the only healthy tight end on the Chargers right now. ","latest_at":"2026-09-21T21:41:35+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-23T09:00:05.446832+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":4.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"placed on ir; carted off the field; knee injury; only healthy tight end; charlie kolar ir","llm_role_change":-1,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-26T09:27:41.157544+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}