# Dak Prescott — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/3294 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/3294", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:21:45.161762+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "3294", "name": "Dak Prescott", "team": "DAL", "pos": "QB", "age": 33, "exp": 10, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 26.1, "ros_ppg": 17.11, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 17.11417777777778, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 294, "adp": 84.0, "adp_pr": 9, "ly": { "pts": 307.8, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 4552.0, "passing_tds": 30.0, "interceptions": 10.0, "carries": 53.0, "rushing_yards": 177.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 221.0, "rushing_first_downs": 19.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 2.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 18.11, "ypc": 3.3, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 4729.0, "ypg": 278.2, "touches": 53.0, "first_downs": 19.0, "xfp": 29.5, "xfp_diff": null, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "partial" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 95.1, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.82, "pass_adot": 8.33, "pass_aggressiveness": 20.33, "pass_cpoe": 4.6, "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.19, "pass_rating": 99.53, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": 2.64, "rush_yac_att": 0.7, "rush_broken_tackles": 3.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 19.8, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 11.6, "rec_drop_pct": null }, "ytd": { "pts": 124.1, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 1851.0, "passing_tds": 13.0, "interceptions": 5.0, "carries": 16.0, "rushing_yards": 81.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 99.0, "rushing_first_downs": 5.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 17.73, "ypc": 5.1, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 1932.0, "ypg": 276.0, "touches": 16.0, "first_downs": 5.0, "xfp": 13.4, "xfp_diff": -5.3, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 100.0, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.78, "pass_adot": 8.2, "pass_aggressiveness": 21.25, "pass_cpoe": 1.23, "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.19, "pass_rating": 92.91, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 21.2, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 16.3, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "3294", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:21:45.165011+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Accuracy and aggression rarely live together the way they did in Prescott's 2025. He ranked in the 95th percentile in CPOE and 96th in aggressiveness, throwing into tight windows at nearly the highest rate at the position while completing well above expectation, with a bad-throw rate near the bottom eighth. That produced 4,552 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, and a QB6 points finish carried entirely by his arm, since 3.3 yards a carry and a last-place yards-before-contact figure confirm the rushing dimension is gone at 32. Dallas ranks fourth in early implied team totals, which supports the volume repeating, and his questionable tag currently comes with no expected missed games. The market shrugs at all of it, pricing him QB11 near pick 98 while the consensus projection says QB9, and the gap widens in 2QB formats, where he goes QB15 against that same QB9 number. A fade of a pure passer entering his mid-thirties is a coherent position in general, just an odd one to open right after a 95th percentile accuracy season.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Dak Prescott, Cowboys starters will not play in preseason — Schottenheimer said he broke up all players into four groups for preseason playing time. The A group plays zero snaps, B+ group plays 10-15 snaps, B- group plays 20-25 snaps and the C group plays unlimited snaps. We'll get our first look at Dak Prescott and the Cowboys starters in Week 1 against the Giants. ", "latest_at": "2026-08-05T20:39:52+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-08-07T10:00:03.087867+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 0, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "will not play; preseason playing time; first look week 1", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.2, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-08-07T10:02:13.968150+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-07-18", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```