# Hunter Henry — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/3214 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/3214", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:57.430106+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "3214", "name": "Hunter Henry", "team": "NE", "pos": "TE", "age": 31, "exp": 10, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 6.6, "ros_ppg": 7.39, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 7.386444444444446, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 125, "adp": 149.4, "adp_pr": 16, "ly": { "pts": 148.8, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 87.0, "receptions": 60.0, "receiving_yards": 768.0, "receiving_tds": 7.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 42.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 18.0, "ppg": 8.75, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.8, "ypr": 12.8, "catch_pct": 69.0, "total_yd": 768.0, "ypg": 45.2, "touches": 60.0, "first_downs": 42.0, "xfp": 132.4, "xfp_diff": 16.4, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 79.4, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.99, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.21, "rec_adot": 8.13, "rec_air_share": 16.03, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.49, "rec_catch_pct": 68.97, "rec_drops": 5.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.7 }, "ytd": { "pts": 54.6, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 31.0, "receptions": 26.0, "receiving_yards": 296.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 18.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 14.8, "ppg": 7.8, "ypc": null, "ypt": 9.5, "ypr": 11.4, "catch_pct": 83.9, "total_yd": 296.0, "ypg": 42.3, "touches": 26.0, "first_downs": 18.0, "xfp": 40.5, "xfp_diff": 14.1, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 73.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 4.45, "rec_avg_cushion": 4.89, "rec_adot": 5.69, "rec_air_share": 8.75, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.6, "rec_catch_pct": 83.87, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 3.2 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "3214", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:57.476097+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Quietly, Hunter Henry finished 2025 as the TE7 with 87 targets, 768 yards, and seven touchdowns, and the half-PPR market answered with an ADP of 119, TE16. Part of the discount is age, he turns 31 entering his eleventh season, and part is the shape of the production. His 12.8 yards per reception ranked fourth among qualified tight ends on an 83rd-percentile aDOT, genuine downfield work, but it came with 14th-percentile separation and a catch rate in the bottom quartile of the position, a contested-catch profile, and contested profiles age worse than open ones. He also beat the points his opportunity predicted by 16, mostly through the seven scores, so touchdown pullback is already assumed in the TE16 consensus he carries. Standard drafters are less patient, taking him around pick 92 as the TE11, and that version I'd pass on. At the half-PPR price the regression case is paid for, and a second straight 17-game season of top-ten target volume wouldn't need much else to go right.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Hunter Henry a non-factor in loss Sunday — The veteran tight end wasn't able to contribute for the Patriots on Sunday. He finished with just one five-yard catch against the Jaguars, which left him with a very poor fantasy total. He can't be trusted as a streaming option in most leagues moving forward.", "latest_at": "2026-09-28T16:48:37+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "non-factor in loss; just one five-yard catch; very poor fantasy total; can't be trusted; streaming option", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-29T19:20:31.718361+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```