{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/3163","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:22:41.846893+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"3163","name":"Jared Goff","team":"DET","pos":"QB","age":32,"exp":10,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":31.8,"ros_ppg":17.39,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":17.39244,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":278,"adp":142.4,"adp_pr":16,"ly":{"pts":297.1,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":4564.0,"passing_tds":34.0,"interceptions":8.0,"carries":19.0,"rushing_yards":45.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":224.0,"rushing_first_downs":8.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":5.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":17.48,"ypc":2.4,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":4609.0,"ypg":271.1,"touches":19.0,"first_downs":8.0,"xfp":6.2,"xfp_diff":null,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"partial"},"adv":{"snap_pct":98.5,"pass_time_to_throw":2.7,"pass_adot":6.83,"pass_aggressiveness":12.46,"pass_cpoe":1.7,"pass_air_to_sticks":-1.99,"pass_rating":105.49,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":23.9,"pass_bad_throw_pct":14.6,"rec_drop_pct":null},"ytd":{"pts":133.0,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":1788.0,"passing_tds":14.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":12.0,"rushing_yards":15.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":88.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":22.17,"ypc":1.2,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":1803.0,"ypg":300.5,"touches":12.0,"first_downs":1.0,"xfp":7.3,"xfp_diff":0.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":99.2,"pass_time_to_throw":2.84,"pass_adot":8.41,"pass_aggressiveness":20.18,"pass_cpoe":1.67,"pass_air_to_sticks":-0.55,"pass_rating":112.47,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":17.2,"pass_bad_throw_pct":15.3,"rec_drop_pct":null}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"3163","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:22:41.861022+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Detroit's passing volume carried Goff to 4,564 yards and 34 touchdowns last season, both second at the position, with a 105.5 passer rating in the 95th percentile. The style behind those numbers is worth understanding before you pay for them. His 6.8 aDOT sits in the bottom fifth of quarterbacks, his release is among the quickest, and his average throw lands two yards short of the sticks, so the production comes from quick, shallow passing inside an elite offense rather than downfield ambition. He also gives you nothing on the ground, 19 carries for 45 yards across 17 games, which is how 34 scores turned into 17.9 points per game instead of a top-five finish. At QB16 around pick 126, the market is paying for roughly what he is, and Vegas backs the environment by ranking Detroit's implied totals second in the league. The one thing no draft slot can add is a rushing lever, so the ceiling stays capped at very good.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jared Goff scores four touchdowns in win Sunday — Goff was able to lead the Lions to an easy win over the Cardinals on Sunday. He was very efficient over the course of the afternoon, racking up nearly 300 total yards and four touchdowns, which left him with a fantastic fantasy total. He projects to be a quality fantasy option again in a home matchup against the Packers next week.","latest_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:12+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"four touchdowns; nearly 300 total yards; fantasy total; quality fantasy option; home matchup","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-13T09:04:16.019608+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}