{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/2449","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:29.499629+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"2449","name":"Stefon Diggs","team":"WAS","pos":"WR","age":32,"exp":11,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":24.4,"ros_ppg":9.97,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.969800000000003,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":135,"adp":111.7,"adp_pr":45,"ly":{"pts":167.8,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":102.0,"receptions":85.0,"receiving_yards":1013.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":51.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":21.2,"ppg":9.87,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.9,"ypr":11.9,"catch_pct":83.3,"total_yd":1013.0,"ypg":59.6,"touches":85.0,"first_downs":51.0,"xfp":139.5,"xfp_diff":28.3,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":53.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.04,"rec_avg_cushion":5.75,"rec_adot":8.52,"rec_air_share":19.7,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.54,"rec_catch_pct":83.33,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.9},"ytd":{"pts":57.4,"g":5,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":38.0,"receptions":24.0,"receiving_yards":214.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":14.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":23.2,"ppg":11.48,"ypc":null,"ypt":5.6,"ypr":8.9,"catch_pct":63.2,"total_yd":214.0,"ypg":42.8,"touches":24.0,"first_downs":14.0,"xfp":53.1,"xfp_diff":4.3,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":60.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.52,"rec_avg_cushion":6.73,"rec_adot":8.78,"rec_air_share":18.96,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.27,"rec_catch_pct":63.16,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":13.2}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"2449","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:29.503382+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Diggs caught 83.3 percent of his targets last season, the best rate among qualified receivers by percentile, and added 78th-percentile YAC over expected, which is how 102 targets became a 1,013-yard year in his first season back from the ACL tear. The caveats show up in his usage columns rather than his results. His aDOT was 8.5, 22nd percentile, and his snap share was 53.8 percent, 16th percentile, so New England managed his workload and fed him short throws he converted at an elite clip. He also outscored his opportunity by 28 half-PPR points, a 1.2 ratio of actual to expected that history says tends to shrink. July reporting has at least five teams interested, and he's telling people the knee is a non-issue after a full offseason of training. A 12th-round price, ADP 134, buys an unsigned 32-year-old whose production leaned on efficiency rather than volume, a profile that ages fine when the target load stays real and fades quickly when it thins, so where he signs matters more than anything in his 2025 file.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Stefon Diggs (hand/hamstring) off injury report Sunday  — Diggs will be a WR3 play for fantasy managers. 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