# Jameis Winston — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/2306 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/2306", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:24:31.815754+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "2306", "name": "Jameis Winston", "team": "NYG", "pos": "QB", "age": 32, "exp": 11, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 10.42, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 10.418768597935228, "source": "fallback", "captured_at": null, "covered_weeks": [], "missing_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 10, "adp": 664.4, "adp_pr": 170, "ly": { "pts": 42.8, "g": 3, "through_week": 15, "passing_yards": 567.0, "passing_tds": 2.0, "interceptions": 2.0, "carries": 7.0, "rushing_yards": 23.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 1.0, "receptions": 1.0, "receiving_yards": 33.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 26.0, "rushing_first_downs": 3.0, "receiving_first_downs": 1.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 1.0, "ppg": 14.27, "ypc": 3.3, "ypt": 33.0, "ypr": 33.0, "catch_pct": 100.0, "total_yd": 623.0, "ypg": 207.7, "touches": 8.0, "first_downs": 4.0, "xfp": 6.7, "xfp_diff": 11.4, "xfp_through_week": 12, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 67.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 65.3, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 957.0, "passing_tds": 7.0, "interceptions": 5.0, "carries": 16.0, "rushing_yards": 50.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 48.0, "rushing_first_downs": 9.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 10.88, "ypc": 3.1, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 1007.0, "ypg": 167.8, "touches": 16.0, "first_downs": 9.0, "xfp": 12.0, "xfp_diff": -1.0, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 75.0, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.64, "pass_adot": 9.12, "pass_aggressiveness": 20.89, "pass_cpoe": -6.23, "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.71, "pass_rating": 76.37, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 22.9, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 23.8, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "2306", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:24:31.818483+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Winston gave a three-game reminder of what his relief work looks like in 2025: a 32.7-point eruption in week 12 inside a 14.9 points-per-game line that drops to 6.0 once that night comes out. At 32, with eleven seasons behind him, the profile is settled, big yardage in bursts with turnovers riding along, and the consensus agrees by projecting as many interceptions as touchdowns on his 2026 stat line. The situation in New York is friendlier than you might assume, since the Giants carry a 23.1 implied team total through the early lines, 18th in the league and peaking at 26.2 against Arizona, so a Winston start would come with a real offense around it. His projection totals 11.6 season-long points, a cameo, and 2QB drafters price it that way at 296 overall, QB48. Anyone clicking there is buying the known spike, the one week a year Winston relieves somebody and produces a line nobody else in round 25 can match.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jameis Winston to remain Giants starting QB — Harbaugh confirmed this statement after the team traded for JJ McCarthy on Monday. Winston has struggled in two games, but he'll remain the team's starter for now. ", "latest_at": "2026-09-28T20:24:53+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "remain giants starting qb; traded for jj mccarthy; struggled in two games; remain the team's starter", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": -1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-30T09:15:22.159873+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```