{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/2078","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:19:00.351612+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"2078","name":"Odell Beckham Jr.","team":"MIN","pos":"WR","age":33,"exp":12,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":2.63,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":2.6317811212952953,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":10},"proj":19,"adp":662.8,"adp_pr":351,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":0.0,"g":1,"through_week":3,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":1.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":4.8,"ppg":0.0,"ypc":null,"ypt":0.0,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":0.0,"total_yd":0.0,"ypg":0.0,"touches":0.0,"first_downs":0.0,"xfp":1.6,"xfp_diff":-1.6,"xfp_through_week":3,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":10.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"2078","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:19:00.356220+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"At pick 418 the market is drafting the name Odell Beckham on almost no analytical support. There is no qualified 2025 stat line to point to, he's 33 and entering his thirteenth season, and he sits sixth on a Giants depth chart attached to mid-pack implied totals, 18th in the league at 23.1 points. Consensus scratches out 30.8 points, roughly 14 catches, which is what deep-roster veteran insurance looks like on paper rather than an argument for a roster spot. Veterans at this stage do occasionally win camp jobs and produce a month of relevance, and if that happens the news will travel faster than any draft-day discount was worth. Until a depth chart move or preseason usage says otherwise, this is a name that belongs on waivers, where the same shares can be had for free in every league that isn't drafting sentiment.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Odell Beckham Jr. to be elevated by Vikings Sunday  — Beckham signed with Minnesota earlier this week. He will remain off the fantasy radar. ","latest_at":"2026-10-10T19:25:50+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"elevated by vikings; off the fantasy radar; signed with minnesota","llm_role_change":1,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.4,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-11T09:10:01.855644+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}