# Keenan Allen — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/1479 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/1479", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:24:03.169604+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "1479", "name": "Keenan Allen", "team": "IND", "pos": "WR", "age": 34, "exp": 13, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 7.46, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 7.4557777777777785, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 113, "adp": 177.4, "adp_pr": 61, "ly": { "pts": 142.2, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 122.0, "receptions": 81.0, "receiving_yards": 777.0, "receiving_tds": 4.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 49.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 22.4, "ppg": 8.36, "ypc": null, "ypt": 6.4, "ypr": 9.6, "catch_pct": 66.4, "total_yd": 777.0, "ypg": 45.7, "touches": 81.0, "first_downs": 49.0, "xfp": 163.2, "xfp_diff": -21.0, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 55.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.63, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.19, "rec_adot": 8.46, "rec_air_share": 23.38, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.29, "rec_catch_pct": 66.39, "rec_drops": 8.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 6.6 }, "ytd": { "pts": 46.3, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 43.0, "receptions": 29.0, "receiving_yards": 258.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 13.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 21.9, "ppg": 7.72, "ypc": null, "ypt": 6.0, "ypr": 8.9, "catch_pct": 67.4, "total_yd": 258.0, "ypg": 43.0, "touches": 29.0, "first_downs": 13.0, "xfp": 54.9, "xfp_diff": -8.6, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 59.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.6, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.02, "rec_adot": 7.14, "rec_air_share": 17.54, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.43, "rec_catch_pct": 67.44, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "1479", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:24:03.172433+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Volume stayed with Allen to the end in Los Angeles. He drew 122 targets in 2025, 7.2 a game across a full 17-game season, usage worth about 163 expected half-PPR points. The market has since walked all the way off, pricing him at 223 overall, WR93, as a 33-year-old free agent. What sits between those two facts is the efficiency file: he scored 21 points below his expected total, separated at a 28th-percentile rate, ran the shallow aDOT of a pure slot chain-mover at the 21st percentile, and did it on a 55.5 percent snap share that kept him off the field more than most starters. The 81 catches and 777 yards suggest a team could still hand him 100 targets and collect a floor season, though the movement numbers hint that each of those targets is getting harder for him to earn, and that erosion is what anyone drafting him this late is really betting against.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Keenan Allen (groin) officially questionable for Sunday — Allen is still dealing with a groin injury and will be questionable to play heading into the weekend. If he's ruled out ahead of game time, fantasy managers should expect more work for Darius Slayton (knee) against the Steelers this week.", "latest_at": "2026-10-09T20:26:31+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.5, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "groin injury; officially questionable; questionable for sunday; still dealing; more work for darius slayton", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T09:04:45.103179+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865, "as_of": "2026-10-12", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```