{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/1466","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:22:20.348643+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"1466","name":"Travis Kelce","team":"KC","pos":"TE","age":37,"exp":13,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":38.5,"ros_ppg":10.5,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":10.502100000000002,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":144,"adp":93.3,"adp_pr":11,"ly":{"pts":153.2,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":1.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":108.0,"receptions":76.0,"receiving_yards":851.0,"receiving_tds":5.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":46.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":19.7,"ppg":9.01,"ypc":1.0,"ypt":7.9,"ypr":11.2,"catch_pct":70.4,"total_yd":852.0,"ypg":50.1,"touches":77.0,"first_downs":47.0,"xfp":145.0,"xfp_diff":8.2,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":81.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.18,"rec_avg_cushion":5.74,"rec_adot":6.35,"rec_air_share":16.56,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.44,"rec_catch_pct":70.37,"rec_drops":7.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.5},"ytd":{"pts":58.3,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":35.0,"receptions":24.0,"receiving_yards":343.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":19.6,"ppg":9.72,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.8,"ypr":14.3,"catch_pct":68.6,"total_yd":343.0,"ypg":57.2,"touches":24.0,"first_downs":18.0,"xfp":43.4,"xfp_diff":14.9,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":77.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.96,"rec_avg_cushion":5.9,"rec_adot":6.57,"rec_air_share":20.69,"rec_yac_above_exp":2.34,"rec_catch_pct":68.57,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":11.4}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"1466","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:22:20.351318+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Age is doing the pricing on Kelce now. Standard leagues let him fall to TE19 at pick 106 while the consensus projection ranks him TE8, and the half-PPR market isn't much warmer at 112.6 overall (TE13). Set the birth certificate aside and 2025 was still a top-five opportunity season: 108 targets, fourth at the position, a 19.7 percent target share in the 94th percentile, 851 receiving yards, and the fourth-highest expected points among tight ends at 145. The decline shows up in the details rather than the workload, since his seven drops were third most at the position, the 70.4 percent catch rate landed in the 31st percentile, and he averaged nine points a game. At 36 there's a genuine chance this is the season the role finally erodes, and Kansas City's tenth-ranked implied totals can't insure against that. A two-round discount against his own projection is a lot of compensation for a player his offense kept feeding all of last year, which makes him one of the cleaner value gaps on the tight end board.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Travis Kelce dominant in overtime win Sunday — Kelce looked great on Sunday night. He led the team in receptions and racked up 101 receiving yards on the night, a number which he failed to hit at all last season. His touchdown was the cherry on top for fantasy managers, and he will likely continue to have good week-to-week value if Patrick Mahomes and KC's offense continues to look this good moving forward.","latest_at":"2026-09-21T15:51:59+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-22T09:00:23.628001+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"dominant in overtime; led the team; 101 receiving yards; good week-to-week value; offense continues to look","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-22T09:02:32.705409+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}