# Kaytron Allen — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13405 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13405", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.025260+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "13405", "name": "Kaytron Allen", "team": "MIA", "pos": "RB", "age": 23, "exp": 0, "injury": null, "rookie": true, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 1.15, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 1.1464, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 20, "adp": 237.4, "adp_pr": 68, "ly": null, "adv": null, "ytd": { "pts": 4.1, "g": 3, "through_week": 4, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 12.0, "rushing_yards": 41.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 1.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 1.37, "ypc": 3.4, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 41.0, "ypg": 13.7, "touches": 12.0, "first_downs": 1.0, "xfp": 8.6, "xfp_diff": -4.5, "xfp_through_week": 4, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 7.4, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "13405", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.028146+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "A 24-carry season is what the consensus projects for Kaytron Allen, which makes his standard-league price of RB62 around pick 157 hard to square. The projection scores that role at RB105, roughly 20 half-PPR points, and as a rookie sitting third on the Washington depth chart he has no NFL data to push back with. Drafters taking him in the 14th round are paying about 40 spots of position rank above what the projection supports, a premium built entirely on draft-season buzz and the hope that the names ahead of him give way. Hope is a legitimate thing to buy that late in a draft, and this is strictly that purchase. If a path does open, at least it opens somewhere playable, since Washington sits 17th by implied team totals at 23.2 points a game, middle of the pack, with a 25.5 implied number against the Giants in Week 5.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Kaytron Allen claimed off waivers by Dolphins — Allen will add depth in the Commanders backfield behind Ollie Gordon and Jaylen Wright. He is purely a player to monitor for now for fantasy managers. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-09T20:30:40+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 0, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "claimed off waivers; add depth; monitor for now; behind ollie gordon", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.8, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T09:07:33.953277+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.21601620415637, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.21601620415637, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```