# Jonah Coleman — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13345 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13345", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:00.854598+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "13345", "name": "Jonah Coleman", "team": "DEN", "pos": "RB", "age": 23, "exp": 0, "injury": null, "rookie": true, "value": 33.6, "ros_ppg": 10.07, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 10.067666666666668, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 44, "adp": 147.4, "adp_pr": 49, "ly": null, "adv": null, "ytd": { "pts": 21.2, "g": 3, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 19.0, "rushing_yards": 93.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 5.0, "receptions": 5.0, "receiving_yards": 34.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 7.0, "receiving_first_downs": 2.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 6.2, "ppg": 7.07, "ypc": 4.9, "ypt": 6.8, "ypr": 6.8, "catch_pct": 100.0, "total_yd": 127.0, "ypg": 42.3, "touches": 24.0, "first_downs": 9.0, "xfp": 16.9, "xfp_diff": 4.3, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 31.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "13345", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:00.875218+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Rookie helium is doing most of the lifting here. Coleman leaves boards at pick 118 in standard and 130 in half-PPR, RB44 to RB48 by format, while the consensus projection sees 34.1 points, RB77, one of the widest price-to-projection gaps at the position. He has yet to take an NFL snap, sits third on Denver's depth chart, and the summer reporting frames his path as short-yardage and goal-line work inside a possible three-man committee with J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey. Goal-line duty in an offense Vegas ranks 25th by implied totals is a thin foundation for a tenth-round pick. In fairness to the drafters, consensus projections run conservative on ambiguous rookie backfields, and if Coleman wins the job outright by October the current cost will look prescient. That remains the entire bet though, a coaching decision that has not happened, supported by no professional production, in a news cycle that itself expects his touches to be capped. Two more rounds of discount and I'm interested.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jonah Coleman (ankle) placed on IR — Coleman had already been ruled out for this week's game. He will now miss at least the next four games. J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey will continue to lead the Broncos backfield. ", "latest_at": "2026-09-26T21:39:10+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-27T19:00:45.880720+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 4.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "placed on ir; miss at least four games; ankle injury; ruled out; lead the broncos backfield", "llm_role_change": -1, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": -1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-27T19:09:58.829398+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-14", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```