# Chris Bell — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13311 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13311", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:02.886334+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "13311", "name": "Chris Bell", "team": "MIA", "pos": "WR", "age": 22, "exp": 0, "injury": null, "rookie": true, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 5.09, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 5.0879, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 88, "adp": 220.6, "adp_pr": 77, "ly": null, "adv": null, "ytd": { "pts": 18.3, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 1.0, "rushing_yards": 26.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 19.0, "receptions": 8.0, "receiving_yards": 117.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 1.0, "receiving_first_downs": 5.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 12.8, "ppg": 3.05, "ypc": 26.0, "ypt": 6.2, "ypr": 14.6, "catch_pct": 42.1, "total_yd": 143.0, "ypg": 23.8, "touches": 9.0, "first_downs": 6.0, "xfp": 29.3, "xfp_diff": -11.0, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 60.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.1, "rec_avg_cushion": 4.88, "rec_adot": 15.18, "rec_air_share": 20.48, "rec_yac_above_exp": 2.84, "rec_catch_pct": 40.0, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "13311", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:02.891081+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Miami listing a rookie second on its receiver depth chart is the headline with Bell, and it does more for his stock than the projection does. Consensus gives him 34 catches for 449 yards, WR96, and drafters pay WR91 at pick 221 in half-PPR, so price and forecast sit within shouting distance. He carries a questionable tag into camp, though no projected absences are attached to it yet, and the Dolphins rank 28th in implied team totals at 19.2 a game, opening as road underdogs in Las Vegas in a 41.5-total game. A No. 2 job usually costs more than a 19th-round pick, which suggests the market doubts the health, the offense, or both. The bet here is entirely on situation, since he has no pro data to lean on, and the situation offers a real depth-chart slot inside an offense that gives receivers very little to score with.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Chris Bell (knee) limited at practice Thursday — Bell was able to participate in a limited fashion at practice on Thursday, which was to be expected, given that the injury is not considered more than a minor issue at this point. It shouldn't affect his availability for Week 5, but fantasy managers shouldn't consider him more than a streaming option at this point in the season.", "latest_at": "2026-10-08T21:44:12+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "limited at practice; minor issue; shouldn't affect availability; streaming option", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T19:22:18.801719+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793, "as_of": "2026-10-09", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```