# KC Concepcion Jr. — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13298 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13298", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:25:10.984201+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "13298", "name": "KC Concepcion Jr.", "team": "CLE", "pos": "WR", "age": 22, "exp": 0, "injury": null, "rookie": true, "value": 4.8, "ros_ppg": 8.06, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 8.05811111111111, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 133, "adp": 112.9, "adp_pr": 46, "ly": null, "adv": null, "ytd": { "pts": 47.9, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 9.0, "rushing_yards": 34.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 45.0, "receptions": 30.0, "receiving_yards": 315.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 2.0, "receiving_first_downs": 14.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 21.7, "ppg": 6.84, "ypc": 3.8, "ypt": 7.0, "ypr": 10.5, "catch_pct": 66.7, "total_yd": 349.0, "ypg": 49.9, "touches": 39.0, "first_downs": 16.0, "xfp": 59.7, "xfp_diff": -9.8, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 69.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.25, "rec_avg_cushion": 7.75, "rec_adot": 7.38, "rec_air_share": 21.25, "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.11, "rec_catch_pct": 66.67, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 2.2 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "13298", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:25:10.986796+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Cleveland rookies are getting drafted aggressively this summer, and Concepcion is the clearest case. A half-PPR ADP of 116 makes him WR49 in that format, while the consensus projection scores his rookie line at 117 points, WR60, leaving the market nearly a full round ahead of any projection support. What drafters are buying is the depth chart, where the 21-year-old currently sits atop the receiver group, on a team whose early implied totals average 18.4 points, 31st in the league. Rookie receivers in bad offenses can still return value through sheer target volume, and a projected 55.7 catches says the role should be real. The price asks him to outrun his projection by more than ten spots in one of the least promising scoring environments on the board, which is a lot to ask of a debut season.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "KC Concepcion (shoulder) returns to practice Tuesday — Concepcion landed hard on his shoulder that forced him out of Monday's practice early. He is back one day later. ", "latest_at": "2026-08-04T17:50:45+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-08-05T10:00:03.056348+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.5, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "returns to practice; landed hard on his shoulder; forced him out; back one day later", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-08-05T10:12:44.798415+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793, "as_of": "2026-10-14", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```