{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13296","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:36.904820+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"13296","name":"Caleb Douglas","team":"MIA","pos":"WR","age":23,"exp":0,"injury":null,"rookie":true,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.96,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.9567000000000005,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":84,"adp":201.0,"adp_pr":68,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":34.8,"g":3,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":13.0,"receptions":9.0,"receiving_yards":183.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.3,"ppg":11.6,"ypc":null,"ypt":14.1,"ypr":20.3,"catch_pct":69.2,"total_yd":183.0,"ypg":61.0,"touches":9.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":18.6,"xfp_diff":16.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":81.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":7.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"13296","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:36.910562+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Miami rookies at receiver come with two problems this year, and Douglas has both: the Dolphins carry the 28th-ranked average implied total on the early lines, and he's already wearing a questionable tag in July. The consensus stat line of 33 catches for 419 yards and a couple of scores is a plausible fourth-receiver season, worth about 71 points and a WR95 ranking, slightly ahead of where the market takes him at pick 334. With no professional data to lean on, the case is entirely projection and depth chart, and the fourth receiver spot in a 19-point offense is a thin place to find fantasy weeks. The injury outlook attached to the tag doesn't currently project missed games, so it reads as caution rather than a lost summer. A drafter reaching this deep could do worse than rookie-year uncertainty, which at least runs in both directions.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Caleb Douglas (ankle) 'unlikely' to play in Week 5 — Douglas is expected to practice in some capacity on Friday. It won't be enough for him to play on Sunday, but he'll have a chance to return in Week 6. ","latest_at":"2026-10-09T14:56:51+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-09T19:00:23.252053+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":1.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"unlikely to play; week 5; practice on friday; chance to return; ankle","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-09T19:12:49.078015+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}