# Makai Lemon — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13294 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13294", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:00.331437+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "13294", "name": "Makai Lemon", "team": "PHI", "pos": "WR", "age": 22, "exp": 0, "injury": null, "rookie": true, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 4.43, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 4.428222222222222, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 124, "adp": 88.9, "adp_pr": 36, "ly": null, "adv": null, "ytd": { "pts": 37.4, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 1.0, "rushing_yards": -5.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 36.0, "receptions": 25.0, "receiving_yards": 194.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 12.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 16.4, "ppg": 5.34, "ypc": -5.0, "ypt": 5.4, "ypr": 7.8, "catch_pct": 69.4, "total_yd": 189.0, "ypg": 27.0, "touches": 26.0, "first_downs": 12.0, "xfp": 42.9, "xfp_diff": -5.5, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 74.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.76, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.85, "rec_adot": 5.29, "rec_air_share": 11.34, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.74, "rec_catch_pct": 69.44, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.6 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "13294", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:00.335388+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Philadelphia's first-round pick is being drafted like the job is already won. Makai Lemon costs pick 78 and WR34 in half-PPR while the consensus projection scores him WR50 at 134 points, one of the wider price-to-projection gaps in this range. The optimism has real footing in the reporting, which has his minicamp hamstring issue fully behind him and the expectation that he opens as the second target behind DeVonta Smith in an offense whose early implied totals rank 14th, with Vegas hanging 26 points on the Eagles for Week 1 against Washington. A 16-spot gap still means drafters are paying today for a target share no rookie has banked yet, and the questionable tag is worth watching through August all the same. Projection systems are routinely the last to move on first-round rookie receivers, so treating the WR50 number as a floor rather than a midpoint is a defensible position. What the seventh-round price doesn't leave you is margin, since it already assumes the role materializes on schedule.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Makai Lemon underwhelming in loss Sunday — DeVonta Smith (hamstring) was sidelined for the Eagles on Sunday, but the rookie still wasn't able to take advantage and ended up with just three catches for 27 yards against the Rams. Fantasy managers shouldn't expect much value out of Lemon for the foreseeable future after his slow start to the season.", "latest_at": "2026-10-05T16:02:01+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-06T09:00:15.551468+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "underwhelming in loss; slow start season; shouldn't expect value; just three catches; deonta smith hamstring", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.8, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-06T09:04:17.487799+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-08-24", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```