{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13293","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.611961+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"13293","name":"Ja'Kobi Lane","team":"BAL","pos":"WR","age":22,"exp":0,"injury":null,"rookie":true,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.05,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.050444444444445,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":111,"adp":148.5,"adp_pr":56,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":11.6,"g":3,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":13.0,"receptions":8.0,"receiving_yards":76.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":6.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.6,"ppg":3.87,"ypc":null,"ypt":5.8,"ypr":9.5,"catch_pct":61.5,"total_yd":76.0,"ypg":25.3,"touches":8.0,"first_downs":6.0,"xfp":21.1,"xfp_diff":-9.5,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":54.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"13293","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.616530+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Baltimore leads the league in implied team totals at 27 points a game, and that context is doing heavy lifting in Ja'Kobi Lane's price. Drafters take the rookie around WR70 in half-PPR near pick 192, a bit ahead of his WR81 consensus projection of 81 points. The premium has some logic to it: a 22-year-old sitting third on the depth chart in the league's best-projected scoring environment has more paths to relevance than the same player in a 20-point offense, and touchdown equity in Baltimore is worth something on its own. The projected line itself, 30 catches for 459 yards and three or four scores, is bench-stash production, so the pick only pays off if the role outgrows the forecast. Sixteenth-round picks are exactly where you make that kind of environment bet, and among the rookie receivers going in this range, Lane is one of the few whose price and projection actually sit near each other.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Ja'Kobi Lane (wrist) placed on IR — Lane underwent wrist surgery on Tuesday, and the team is hopeful that he won't miss much more than the required four games for an IL stint. In his absence, Rashod Bateman could be in for more targets, along with Devontez Walker and Elijah Sarratt.","latest_at":"2026-09-16T18:56:19+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-16T19:00:15.092238+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":4.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"placed on ir; wrist surgery; won't miss much more; required four games; in his absence","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-16T19:01:56.381256+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}