{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13287","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:18.631264+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"13287","name":"Jeremiyah Love","team":"ARI","pos":"RB","age":21,"exp":0,"injury":null,"rookie":true,"value":26.3,"ros_ppg":9.25,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.249888888888888,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":225,"adp":26.8,"adp_pr":14,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":45.6,"g":5,"through_week":5,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":67.0,"rushing_yards":245.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":14.0,"receptions":11.0,"receiving_yards":36.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":9.0,"receiving_first_downs":2.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":7.2,"ppg":9.12,"ypc":3.7,"ypt":2.6,"ypr":3.3,"catch_pct":78.6,"total_yd":281.0,"ypg":56.2,"touches":78.0,"first_downs":11.0,"xfp":56.1,"xfp_diff":-10.5,"xfp_through_week":5,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":48.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":23.88,"rush_time_to_los":2.94,"rush_ryoe_per_att":-0.39,"rush_efficiency":4.41,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.42,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":1.87,"rush_yac_att":1.79,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":14.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"13287","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:18.641286+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Jeremiyah Love arrives with no NFL resume and a second-round price, 17.1 overall in half-PPR as the RB11. Context is nearly all there is to evaluate, and Arizona's is the worst on the board: dead last in early implied team totals at 18.3 points a game, opening week 1 as an 11.5-point road underdog. The consensus projection still reaches 228 points and RB14 on the strength of the role, roughly 238 carries and 54 catches, genuine three-down usage for a rookie and the reason catch-heavy formats haven't discounted him much. The market pays three spots above that projection, and for a player with zero professional data the premium is entirely priors, his pedigree and the assumption the Cardinals built the backfield around him. Rookie backs with locked-in passing-down work are the archetype that most often justifies a round-two pick, so the bet is a recognizable one, but what's absent should be said plainly: no efficiency data, no usage data, and an offense Vegas expects to trail constantly, a script that would feed his receptions while starving his touchdowns. Few players drafted this early carry a range of outcomes this wide.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jeremiyah Love disappoints in loss Sunday — The rookie had an extremely disappointing game on Sunday. He rushed for an inefficient 22 yards on 12 carries, and he wasn't able to catch a single pass over the course of the game, which left him with a terrible fantasy total. He didn't play much late in the game when Arizona fell behind, and it's worth keeping tabs on updates about his injury status and the team's plan for workload management heading into Week 6.","latest_at":"2026-10-12T15:44:03+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"extremely disappointing game; inefficient 22 yards; didn't play much; keep tabs on updates; workload management","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-13T09:00:08.703095+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.21601620415637,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.21601620415637,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}