{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13275","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:42.790564+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"13275","name":"Ty Simpson","team":"LAR","pos":"QB","age":23,"exp":0,"injury":null,"rookie":true,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":1.08,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":1.0765882352941178,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[8,9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":9},"proj":18,"adp":673.1,"adp_pr":184,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":null,"adv_ytd":null},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"13275","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:42.793201+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Simpson's price is mostly a bet on real estate. The Rams carry a 26.4 average implied total on early lines, third best in the league, and superflex drafters are paying pick 120, QB28, for the rookie listed second on that depth chart, while 1QB formats take him around 242. His consensus projection sits near 23 points, QB39, which is to say the projectors expect him to hold a clipboard. There's no statistical case to litigate either way, only first-round pedigree, a rookie deal that remained unsigned into late June alongside Fernando Mendoza's, and the league's third-richest offensive environment waiting if he ever takes over. An 11th-round superflex pick for a backup with no projected role is aggressive even by rookie-quarterback standards. Should the succession arrive midseason the pick will look inspired, and if it doesn't, that selection bought one of the league's best situations without the player to go with it.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Ty Simpson signs rookie deal with Rams — Simpson's contract is fully guaranteed, includes a fifth-year option and features a $14.9-million signing bonus. The 23-year-old will serve as Matthew Stafford's backup after being taken in the first round of the 2026 Draft.","latest_at":"2026-07-25T18:31:09+00:00","updated_at":"2026-07-27T10:00:03.380119+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"signs rookie deal; fully guaranteed; fifth-year option; serves as backup; first round","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.8,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-08-06T10:22:59.411432+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}