# Isaac TeSlaa — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12535 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12535", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:53.380877+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12535", "name": "Isaac TeSlaa", "team": "DET", "pos": "WR", "age": 24, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 3.47, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 3.4651000000000005, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 72, "adp": 236.6, "adp_pr": 83, "ly": { "pts": 67.9, "g": 14, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 27.0, "receptions": 16.0, "receiving_yards": 239.0, "receiving_tds": 6.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 14.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 5.8, "ppg": 4.85, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.9, "ypr": 14.9, "catch_pct": 59.3, "total_yd": 239.0, "ypg": 17.1, "touches": 16.0, "first_downs": 14.0, "xfp": 51.2, "xfp_diff": 16.7, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 39.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 24.7, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 21.0, "receptions": 10.0, "receiving_yards": 197.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 8.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 9.6, "ppg": 4.12, "ypc": null, "ypt": 9.4, "ypr": 19.7, "catch_pct": 47.6, "total_yd": 197.0, "ypg": 32.8, "touches": 10.0, "first_downs": 8.0, "xfp": 33.5, "xfp_diff": -8.8, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 60.2, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.81, "rec_avg_cushion": 7.94, "rec_adot": 14.09, "rec_air_share": 16.07, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.31, "rec_catch_pct": 47.62, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12535", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:53.384845+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Six touchdowns on 27 targets is most of the TeSlaa story, and it cuts both ways. The scores turned a 4.9 percent target share and a 39.6 percent snap share into 67.9 half-PPR points, a 33 percent premium over what the usage was worth and an 88th-percentile beat of opportunity. Touchdown rates like that do not survive a new season, so the 2025 line overstates him. The role is the live question: Dan Campbell has said he looks like a consistent veteran this offseason, the beat reporting treats him as locked in at WR3, and Detroit's offense carries a 26.9-point average implied total, second in the league, which makes even small roles worth something because the touchdown pool is so large. Drafters at WR76 in standard sit well ahead of the WR91 projection, which means the market is paying for the coach-speak and the environment rather than any demonstrated volume. That can still be a reasonable 16th-round gamble, provided you are clear that volume is the one thing he has never had.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Isaac TeSlaa held without a catch Sunday — TeSlaa had close to 100 yards last week, but he did not follow that up with a good performance in Week 5. He wasn't able to catch a single pass on Sunday, despite the fact that Detroit's offense was unstoppable in this win over the Cardinals. He is hard to trust from a fantasy perspective moving forward, as he is likely considered the fifth option on this offense at best.", "latest_at": "2026-10-12T15:30:35+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "held without a catch; zero catches; fifth option; hard to trust; no catch", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:03:10.809722+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```