{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12534","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:22:42.068774+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"12534","name":"Kyle Monangai","team":"CHI","pos":"RB","age":24,"exp":1,"injury":"Out","rookie":false,"value":13.4,"ros_ppg":7.82,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":7.819917372686133,"source":"sleeper_future+fallback","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[8],"remaining_games":9},"proj":144,"adp":94.9,"adp_pr":36,"ly":{"pts":133.7,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":169.0,"rushing_yards":783.0,"rushing_tds":5.0,"targets":30.0,"receptions":18.0,"receiving_yards":164.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":41.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":5.6,"ppg":7.86,"ypc":4.6,"ypt":5.5,"ypr":9.1,"catch_pct":60.0,"total_yd":947.0,"ypg":55.7,"touches":187.0,"first_downs":48.0,"xfp":149.8,"xfp_diff":-16.1,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":40.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":18.93,"rush_time_to_los":2.59,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.27,"rush_efficiency":3.52,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.41,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":6.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.81,"rush_yac_att":1.65,"rush_broken_tackles":4.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":20.0},"ytd":{"pts":56.8,"g":4,"through_week":4,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":60.0,"rushing_yards":324.0,"rushing_tds":3.0,"targets":5.0,"receptions":5.0,"receiving_yards":39.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":16.0,"receiving_first_downs":1.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":4.1,"ppg":14.2,"ypc":5.4,"ypt":7.8,"ypr":7.8,"catch_pct":100.0,"total_yd":363.0,"ypg":90.8,"touches":65.0,"first_downs":17.0,"xfp":51.4,"xfp_diff":5.4,"xfp_through_week":4,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":40.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":21.67,"rush_time_to_los":2.5,"rush_ryoe_per_att":1.17,"rush_efficiency":3.01,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.46,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.85,"rush_yac_att":2.55,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"12534","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:22:42.074396+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Chicago's line did most of the work on Monangai's 4.6 yards per carry. His 2.81 yards before contact per rush sat in the 80th percentile while his 1.65 after contact ranked 24th, and he got to the line of scrimmage faster than nearly everyone at the position, which together reads as a one-speed downhill runner taking what's blocked. He also left points on the field, finishing 16 below his expected total, near the bottom of the position, and six drops on just 30 targets help explain why the Bears kept passing work away from him. The offense around him is the appeal, since Chicago carries the 8th-best implied team total on the early lines. The market has noticed, paying RB29 in standard formats against an RB36 consensus projection, and about pick 79 as RB31 in half-PPR. Taking him there means believing his goal-line and touchdown share grows inside a good offense, because the thin receiving profile and the missing burst after contact suggest the per-touch numbers won't do the lifting on their own.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe) ruled out for Week 8 — Monangai will miss a fourth consecutive contest while continuing to work towards a return to the Chicago backfield for head coach Ben Johnson, with D'Andre Swift in line for the majority of running back touches against the Seahawks Monday night.","latest_at":"2026-10-31T17:13:33+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":1.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"ruled out for week 8; miss a fourth consecutive contest; majority of running back touches; thumb toe","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-31T23:16:24.788404+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}