# Cam Ward — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12522 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12522", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:09.573201+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12522", "name": "Cam Ward", "team": "TEN", "pos": "QB", "age": 24, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 1.8, "ros_ppg": 14.41, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 14.407111111111114, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 222, "adp": 232.2, "adp_pr": 26, "ly": { "pts": 186.7, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 3169.0, "passing_tds": 15.0, "interceptions": 7.0, "carries": 39.0, "rushing_yards": 159.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 153.0, "rushing_first_downs": 16.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 7.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 10.98, "ypc": 4.1, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 3328.0, "ypg": 195.8, "touches": 39.0, "first_downs": 16.0, "xfp": 20.9, "xfp_diff": 7.0, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 94.6, "pass_time_to_throw": 3.0, "pass_adot": 7.56, "pass_aggressiveness": 12.59, "pass_cpoe": -3.24, "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.57, "pass_rating": 80.24, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 3.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 27.6, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 18.4, "rec_drop_pct": null }, "ytd": { "pts": 72.3, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 1179.0, "passing_tds": 4.0, "interceptions": 5.0, "carries": 19.0, "rushing_yards": 71.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 59.0, "rushing_first_downs": 7.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 10.33, "ypc": 3.7, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 1250.0, "ypg": 178.6, "touches": 19.0, "first_downs": 7.0, "xfp": 19.3, "xfp_diff": -0.2, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 100.0, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.86, "pass_adot": 6.96, "pass_aggressiveness": 9.62, "pass_cpoe": -2.71, "pass_air_to_sticks": -2.41, "pass_rating": 73.78, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 23.2, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 17.3, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12522", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:09.576052+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Nearly every number from Ward's rookie year points in the same direction. He was pressured on 27.6% of dropbacks, third most among qualified quarterbacks, held the ball a slow three full seconds, lost a position-high seven fumbles, and posted a minus-3.1 CPOE with an 80.2 passer rating in the bottom tenth, all of it summing to 11.4 points per game across 17 starts. Durability and 3,169 passing yards are the genuine positives, and some of the pressure traces to how long he holds the ball, which is at least coachable. Single-quarterback drafters have him priced sanely at QB24 near pick 167 against a QB28 projection. Superflex is where the mistake lives, at pick 72 as the QB19, nine spots ahead of the projection on draft-capital faith alone. His coach spent June telling reporters he is not worried about the accuracy concerns, and Tennessee's 27th-ranked implied total leaves most of the improvement for Ward to supply himself.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Cam Ward underwhelming in loss Sunday — Ward wasn't able to get much going for Tennessee's offense on Sunday. They scored just seven points in this loss to the Giants, and he surrendered one turnover in the process. He has had a rough start to the season and is unlikely to support many good fantasy options on this offense moving forward.", "latest_at": "2026-09-28T15:50:20+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-29T09:00:17.434798+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "underwhelming in loss; surrendered one turnover; rough start to the season; unlikely to support fantasy; scored just seven points", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-29T09:20:17.791179+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```