# Quinshon Judkins — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12512 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12512", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:32.221477+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12512", "name": "Quinshon Judkins", "team": "CLE", "pos": "RB", "age": 23, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 27.9, "ros_ppg": 9.43, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 9.431777777777778, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 200, "adp": 49.0, "adp_pr": 23, "ly": { "pts": 154.8, "g": 14, "through_week": 16, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 230.0, "rushing_yards": 827.0, "rushing_tds": 7.0, "targets": 36.0, "receptions": 26.0, "receiving_yards": 171.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 53.0, "receiving_first_downs": 7.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 8.3, "ppg": 11.06, "ypc": 3.6, "ypt": 4.8, "ypr": 6.6, "catch_pct": 72.2, "total_yd": 998.0, "ypg": 71.3, "touches": 256.0, "first_downs": 60.0, "xfp": 185.5, "xfp_diff": -30.7, "xfp_through_week": 16, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 50.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 45.22, "rush_time_to_los": 2.98, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.2, "rush_efficiency": 4.2, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": 1.4, "rush_yac_att": 2.2, "rush_broken_tackles": 11.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 2.8 }, "ytd": { "pts": 70.2, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 90.0, "rushing_yards": 317.0, "rushing_tds": 3.0, "targets": 21.0, "receptions": 19.0, "receiving_yards": 110.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 17.0, "receiving_first_downs": 5.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 11.5, "ppg": 11.7, "ypc": 3.5, "ypt": 5.2, "ypr": 5.8, "catch_pct": 90.5, "total_yd": 427.0, "ypg": 71.2, "touches": 109.0, "first_downs": 22.0, "xfp": 80.2, "xfp_diff": -10.0, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 59.2, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 23.33, "rush_time_to_los": 2.68, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.18, "rush_efficiency": 4.23, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.36, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.08, "rush_yac_att": 1.44, "rush_broken_tackles": 7.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12512", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:32.227339+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "No back in football ran into stacked boxes more often than Judkins, whose 45 percent rate led all 48 qualified rushers, and his line handed him 1.4 yards before contact per carry, 4th percentile. He still fought out 2.2 yards after contact, 76th percentile, the signature of a runner earning everything in a dead offense. The result was 154.8 points against 185.5 expected from his usage, one of the largest underperformances at the position, and a 30-point gap below expectation would normally read as a clean rebound case. None of the causes have moved, though: Cleveland's implied team totals average 18.4, second worst in the league in the early lines, so the boxes will stay heavy and the touchdown chances scarce. His half-PPR ADP of 50 lands on RB22, matching the projection's RB22 almost exactly, which makes him properly priced, no bargain attached. The purchase gets you 289 projected carries of pure volume and a 22-year-old with legitimate contact balance, delivered through an environment that already demonstrated it can compress that profile into 3.6 yards per carry.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Quinshon Judkins (ankle) considered day-to-day — Judkins was seen in a walking boot following Sunday's game against the Jets. His status will need to be monitored in practice this week. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-12T18:23:54+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.5, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "ankle day-to-day; walking boot; status will need; monitor this week", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:19:58.070944+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793, "as_of": "2026-10-14", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```