{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12508","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:01.018157+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"12508","name":"Jaxson Dart","team":"NYG","pos":"QB","age":23,"exp":1,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":7.9,"ros_ppg":15.09,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":15.088562033909795,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":9},"proj":299,"adp":105.2,"adp_pr":11,"ly":{"pts":239.6,"g":14,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":2272.0,"passing_tds":15.0,"interceptions":5.0,"carries":86.0,"rushing_yards":487.0,"rushing_tds":9.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":102.0,"rushing_first_downs":41.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":17.11,"ypc":5.7,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":2759.0,"ypg":197.1,"touches":86.0,"first_downs":41.0,"xfp":61.0,"xfp_diff":41.7,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":83.6,"pass_time_to_throw":2.82,"pass_adot":8.29,"pass_aggressiveness":12.98,"pass_cpoe":-1.99,"pass_air_to_sticks":-1.0,"pass_rating":91.71,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":4.9,"rush_yac_att":0.77,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":24.0,"pass_bad_throw_pct":14.4,"rec_drop_pct":null},"ytd":{"pts":27.4,"g":2,"through_week":2,"passing_yards":250.0,"passing_tds":3.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":11.0,"rushing_yards":54.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":16.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":13.7,"ypc":4.9,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":304.0,"ypg":152.0,"touches":11.0,"first_downs":4.0,"xfp":4.1,"xfp_diff":1.3,"xfp_through_week":1,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":56.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":null}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"12508","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:01.020581+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Dart's rookie rushing usage did fantasy work his passing never had to match. In 14 games he ran 86 times for 487 yards and nine touchdowns, enough to rank fourth among all quarterbacks in expected fantasy points from usage, and the consensus projection leans into it, ranking him QB6 with another 549 rushing yards forecast. The passing stayed thin at 162 yards a game with a 31st percentile CPOE, and the run-style detail deserves attention before anyone extrapolates: a 77th percentile yards-before-contact rate against a 37th percentile after-contact figure with zero broken tackles, meaning the yardage came from scheme and open grass rather than physicality. His 83.6 percent snap share, near the bottom of the position, plus a worst week of minus 0.3 points, sketches the downside honestly. Half-PPR drafters currently get him at pick 89 as QB9, a few spots under the projection, so the rushing-touchdown profile comes at a modest markdown. The buy is a Konami-code floor attached to a passing game that has proven very little.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jaxson Dart (knee) to miss the rest of the season — Dart had been getting multiple opinions on his ACL injury. Examination shows that the ligament is intact, but Dart will still require surgery that will end his second-season. Jameis Winston will take over as QB1 for the Giants. ","latest_at":"2026-09-23T16:07:19+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-23T19:00:30.621499+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":3,"llm_weeks_out":18.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"miss the season; acl injury; require surgery; jameis winston will take over; season ending","llm_role_change":-1,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-23T19:10:57.427262+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}