# Elic Ayomanor — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12499 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12499", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:48.295130+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12499", "name": "Elic Ayomanor", "team": "TEN", "pos": "WR", "age": 23, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 5.73, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 5.7314444444444455, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 67, "adp": 699.1, "adp_pr": 487, "ly": { "pts": 96.0, "g": 16, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 89.0, "receptions": 41.0, "receiving_yards": 515.0, "receiving_tds": 4.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 30.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 18.1, "ppg": 6.0, "ypc": null, "ypt": 5.8, "ypr": 12.6, "catch_pct": 46.1, "total_yd": 515.0, "ypg": 32.2, "touches": 41.0, "first_downs": 30.0, "xfp": 130.3, "xfp_diff": -34.3, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 80.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.67, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.83, "rec_adot": 12.26, "rec_air_share": 28.09, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.25, "rec_catch_pct": 46.07, "rec_drops": 5.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.6 }, "ytd": { "pts": 28.7, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 21.0, "receptions": 10.0, "receiving_yards": 177.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 9.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 10.8, "ppg": 4.1, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.4, "ypr": 17.7, "catch_pct": 47.6, "total_yd": 177.0, "ypg": 25.3, "touches": 10.0, "first_downs": 9.0, "xfp": 36.4, "xfp_diff": -7.7, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 64.1, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.49, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.24, "rec_adot": 11.63, "rec_air_share": 17.91, "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.21, "rec_catch_pct": 47.62, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 9.5 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12499", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:48.297980+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Ayomanor left more on the field in 2025 than anyone going near his price. Tennessee handed him a near-No. 1 workload, 89 targets, a 16.8% target share, 28% of the air yards, 80.6% of the snaps, and that usage was worth about 130 expected half-PPR points. He produced 96, a 34-point shortfall ranking 94th of 98 qualified receivers, and the cause is blunt, a 46.1% catch rate (4th percentile), five drops, 5.8 yards per target. Volume that big converting that badly is the textbook rebound setup, which standard leagues have priced at WR77 around pick 185 while half-PPR rooms let him sit past 244 at WR100. Two things complicate the bounce, though: he's now listed fifth on the Titans' receiver depth chart, and the offense he'd rebound in ranks 27th by implied totals. The consensus projection splits the difference at WR102 on 24 catches. If last year's role survives camp, the half-PPR price is close to free volume, and if it doesn't, the depth chart gave you the warning early.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Elic Ayomanor held to 11 yards Sunday — Ayomanor had a nice showing in Week 2, but he followed that up with a very poor performance in Week 3, being held to just 11 yards in a loss to the Giants. Fantasy managers should feel no desire to roster him at this point in the season.", "latest_at": "2026-09-28T16:00:48+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-29T09:00:17.434798+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "held to 11 yards; very poor performance; no desire to roster", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-29T09:17:52.527205+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```