# Oronde Gadsden — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12493 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12493", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:41.187662+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12493", "name": "Oronde Gadsden", "team": "LAC", "pos": "TE", "age": 23, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 3.75, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 3.7492999999999994, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 72, "adp": 157.9, "adp_pr": 17, "ly": { "pts": 106.9, "g": 15, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 69.0, "receptions": 49.0, "receiving_yards": 664.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 28.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 14.3, "ppg": 7.13, "ypc": null, "ypt": 9.6, "ypr": 13.6, "catch_pct": 71.0, "total_yd": 664.0, "ypg": 44.3, "touches": 49.0, "first_downs": 28.0, "xfp": 101.8, "xfp_diff": 7.1, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 62.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.18, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.96, "rec_adot": 9.0, "rec_air_share": 14.06, "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.45, "rec_catch_pct": 71.01, "rec_drops": 6.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 8.7 }, "ytd": { "pts": 22.5, "g": 6, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 1.0, "rushing_yards": 2.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 21.0, "receptions": 12.0, "receiving_yards": 103.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 12.1, "ppg": 3.75, "ypc": 2.0, "ypt": 4.9, "ypr": 8.6, "catch_pct": 57.1, "total_yd": 105.0, "ypg": 17.5, "touches": 13.0, "first_downs": 4.0, "xfp": 31.1, "xfp_diff": -8.6, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 46.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.23, "rec_avg_cushion": 4.9, "rec_adot": 8.46, "rec_air_share": 12.38, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.5, "rec_catch_pct": 57.14, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 9.5 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12493", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:41.190705+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "No tight end in this range splits the market and the projection wider. Drafters take Oronde Gadsden as the TE11 at a 102 half-PPR ADP while the consensus slots him 27th at the position, and each side has a real argument. The market has rookie efficiency: 9.6 yards per target and 13.6 per catch, both top-four rates among qualified tight ends, earned on a 94th-percentile aDOT with 1.35 YAC over expected (97th), a downfield-plus-run-after-catch mix almost nobody at the position offers. The projection weighs the rest of the ledger, a 5.1-point median week, two games carrying 39 percent of his season, a 31st-percentile snap share, and an 8.7 percent drop rate. A ninth-round pick here is a bet that the Chargers grow a 63-percent-snap part-timer into an every-down target earner in year two, with that breakout priced in rather than discounted. The talent signals are as loud as they come at tight end, and I'd still rather pay for this kind of profile a few rounds later, because when you buy the leap in advance, hitting it only gets you to even.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Oronde Gadsden II 'ready to step up' per HC Jim Harbaugh — Gadsden will be stepping into a bigger role with both David Njoku and Charlie Kolar sidelined. He'll be a viable streamer for fantasy managers. ", "latest_at": "2026-09-25T18:22:48+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-27T09:00:23.404300+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "ready to step up; bigger role; njoku and kolar sidelined; viable streamer", "llm_role_change": 1, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-27T09:04:47.940920+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```