{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12492","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:30:00.915113+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"12492","name":"Pat Bryant","team":"DEN","pos":"WR","age":23,"exp":1,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":7.03,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":7.031708111221585,"source":"sleeper_future+fallback","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[8],"remaining_games":9},"proj":58,"adp":224.2,"adp_pr":78,"ly":{"pts":59.3,"g":13,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":49.0,"receptions":31.0,"receiving_yards":378.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.8,"ppg":4.56,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.7,"ypr":12.2,"catch_pct":63.3,"total_yd":378.0,"ypg":29.1,"touches":31.0,"first_downs":22.0,"xfp":64.5,"xfp_diff":-5.2,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":47.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.44,"rec_avg_cushion":6.33,"rec_adot":8.67,"rec_air_share":9.69,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.82,"rec_catch_pct":63.27,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.1},"ytd":{"pts":25.4,"g":4,"through_week":4,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":16.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":12.0,"receptions":9.0,"receiving_yards":133.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":9.6,"ppg":6.35,"ypc":16.0,"ypt":11.1,"ypr":14.8,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":149.0,"ypg":37.2,"touches":10.0,"first_downs":8.0,"xfp":16.8,"xfp_diff":8.6,"xfp_through_week":4,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":57.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":8.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"12492","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:30:00.923337+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Denver used Bryant sparingly as a rookie, 47.7% of the snaps (8th percentile at the position) and under ten percent of the team's air yards, fringe usage in every sense. His 49 targets were worth about 64 expected half-PPR points and he cashed 59, roughly neutral efficiency. Standard-scoring drafters have pushed him to WR70 around pick 172, thirty-six spots ahead of his WR106 consensus projection, while half-PPR rooms let him drift past 200, and the later price is the one his 2025 usage supports. The interesting part of his charting is the ball-in-hand work, 0.83 YAC over expected per catch (73rd percentile) and four broken tackles after the catch, an 84th-percentile count despite thin volume. A skill like that needs snaps to matter, and Denver lists him fourth on the depth chart in an offense Vegas ranks 25th by implied totals, so the growth case rests on a role change that nothing in the current data shows coming.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Pat Bryant (ankle) placed on injured reserve — Bryant recently suffered an ankle injury, and it is serious enough that the team is placing him on short-term injured reserve. That means that he will be sidelined for the next four weeks at least, but it sounds like he's expected to make his return sometime not too long after that. Troy Franklin and Courtland Sutton are both likely to see more work for the Broncos for the foreseeable future in his absence.","latest_at":"2026-10-09T21:53:19+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":4.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"ankle injury; short-term injured reserve; four weeks; more work; in his absence","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-12T09:02:27.068656+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}