# Bhayshul Tuten — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12490 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12490", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:16.902940+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12490", "name": "Bhayshul Tuten", "team": "JAX", "pos": "RB", "age": 23, "exp": 1, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 58.2, "ros_ppg": 12.16, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 12.156300000000002, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 195, "adp": 59.6, "adp_pr": 26, "ly": { "pts": 83.6, "g": 15, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 83.0, "rushing_yards": 307.0, "rushing_tds": 5.0, "targets": 14.0, "receptions": 10.0, "receiving_yards": 79.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 23.0, "receiving_first_downs": 3.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 2.9, "ppg": 5.57, "ypc": 3.7, "ypt": 5.6, "ypr": 7.9, "catch_pct": 71.4, "total_yd": 386.0, "ypg": 25.7, "touches": 93.0, "first_downs": 26.0, "xfp": 80.3, "xfp_diff": 5.3, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 21.1, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.02, "rush_yac_att": 2.09, "rush_broken_tackles": 5.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 81.9, "g": 6, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 94.0, "rushing_yards": 388.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 14.0, "receptions": 13.0, "receiving_yards": 126.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 22.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 7.9, "ppg": 13.65, "ypc": 4.1, "ypt": 9.0, "ypr": 9.7, "catch_pct": 92.9, "total_yd": 514.0, "ypg": 85.7, "touches": 107.0, "first_downs": 28.0, "xfp": 77.4, "xfp_diff": 4.5, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 55.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 14.89, "rush_time_to_los": 2.99, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.08, "rush_efficiency": 4.73, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.4, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 1.67, "rush_yac_att": 2.46, "rush_broken_tackles": 8.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 7.1 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12490", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:16.906054+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Jacksonville watched Etienne leave for New Orleans, and the consensus projection responded by handing Tuten 243 carries, nearly triple his rookie total of 83. That assumption does all the work in his 193-point, RB23 projection, because the rookie season itself argued for patience: 3.7 yards per carry in the 17th percentile, 2.02 yards before contact, a 21 percent snap share, and ten receptions all year on a team that never trusted him with passing downs. The after-contact number was the bright spot, 2.09 per carry in the 66th percentile, modest evidence that he runs harder than the raw line shows. At a half-PPR ADP of 54, market RB24, he costs almost exactly what the projection says he is worth, which is an unusual arrangement for a second-year back staring at a freshly vacated backfield. The efficiency questions are legitimate, and the price would look very different by October if he simply takes the job cleanly in camp. Among the volume bets in this range, his is one of the few that is structural rather than hopeful.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Bhayshul Tuten leads team in rushing Sunday — Tuten had a good game on Sunday. He led the team in rushing yards at an efficient clip of 4.9 yards per carry, and he was also able to get into the end zone at one point, which left him with a great fantasy total. He should again be started in a matchup against the Bengals next week.", "latest_at": "2026-09-28T16:21:46+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "leads team in rushing; efficient clip of 4.9; great fantasy total; should again be started; matchup against the bengals", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:25.878673+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-09-09", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```