{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12482","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.404688+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"12482","name":"Savion Williams","team":"GB","pos":"WR","age":24,"exp":1,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.57,"games_left":8,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.574375000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":8},"proj":35,"adp":678.8,"adp_pr":402,"ly":{"pts":20.5,"g":12,"through_week":16,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":11.0,"rushing_yards":37.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":10.0,"receptions":10.0,"receiving_yards":78.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":3.0,"ppg":1.71,"ypc":3.4,"ypt":7.8,"ypr":7.8,"catch_pct":100.0,"total_yd":115.0,"ypg":9.6,"touches":21.0,"first_downs":4.0,"xfp":18.0,"xfp_diff":4.5,"xfp_through_week":16,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":11.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0},"ytd":{"pts":15.5,"g":3,"through_week":8,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":5.0,"rushing_yards":31.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":9.0,"receptions":8.0,"receiving_yards":84.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":7.4,"ppg":5.17,"ypc":6.2,"ypt":9.3,"ypr":10.5,"catch_pct":88.9,"total_yd":115.0,"ypg":38.3,"touches":13.0,"first_downs":4.0,"xfp":14.5,"xfp_diff":1.0,"xfp_through_week":8,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":56.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"12482","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.415918+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Green Bay used Savion Williams as a runner far more than a receiver in his rookie year. His 11 carries were the eighth most among qualified wide receivers while his 10 targets sat in the 4th percentile, and an 11.5 percent snap rate ranked second to last at the position. All of it added up to 20.5 points across 12 games, with 78 receiving yards for the season. The 2026 consensus sees 57 points built on roughly 24 catches plus continued designed-run work, which would require the coaching staff to expand a package they kept tiny in 2025 and would more than double his rookie catch total in one jump. He sits fourth on the depth chart in an offense with a top-11 implied team total, so the bet here is athleticism and creative usage rather than any receiving track record, and at pick 365 nobody is paying much for that bet. A rookie receiving line that fits in one good afternoon leaves the projection doing all of the imagining.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Savion Williams (ankle) limited again Thursday — The Packers recently opened Williams' 21-day practice window, and he was able to practice in a limited fashion for a second-straight day on Thursday. He may play in Week 5, but fantasy managers shouldn't expect him to have much of a fantasy impact even if he's cleared to play this week.","latest_at":"2026-10-08T21:07:08+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":1.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"limited again; practice window; may play week 5; little fantasy impact","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-09T09:10:56.131970+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}