{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11655","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:40.209947+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11655","name":"Tyrone Tracy Jr.","team":"NYG","pos":"RB","age":26,"exp":2,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.53,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.530777777777778,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":64,"adp":145.6,"adp_pr":48,"ly":{"pts":142.8,"g":15,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":176.0,"rushing_yards":740.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":48.0,"receptions":36.0,"receiving_yards":288.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":42.0,"receiving_first_downs":14.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":10.8,"ppg":9.52,"ypc":4.2,"ypt":6.0,"ypr":8.0,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":1028.0,"ypg":68.5,"touches":212.0,"first_downs":56.0,"xfp":152.1,"xfp_diff":-7.3,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":54.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":17.05,"rush_time_to_los":2.72,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.11,"rush_efficiency":3.95,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.36,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.49,"rush_yac_att":1.71,"rush_broken_tackles":5.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.2},"ytd":{"pts":29.4,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":19.0,"rushing_yards":55.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":7.0,"receptions":5.0,"receiving_yards":54.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":5.0,"receiving_first_downs":2.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":3.0,"ppg":4.2,"ypc":2.9,"ypt":7.7,"ypr":10.8,"catch_pct":71.4,"total_yd":109.0,"ypg":15.6,"touches":24.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":21.6,"xfp_diff":9.8,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":13.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11655","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:40.288644+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Two rushing touchdowns on 176 carries is the stat that defined Tracy's 2025, and it's also the most fixable thing in his profile. The usage was genuinely decent, 48 targets (82nd percentile), a 9.5 percent target share, and 89th-percentile receiving first downs, while defenses barely bothered loading up against him, with a stacked-box rate among the lightest at the position. The ground work itself was ordinary, 4.2 yards per carry with rush yards over expected barely above zero, and he finished 9.3 points under his expected total. The shape is a passing-game back whose touchdown luck ran terrible and whose rushing gives no reason to expect a bigger role. The consensus is notably cold, projecting RB47 at 104 points against a half-PPR market price of pick 131 (RB45), and oddly the PPR market lets him fall three rounds past where standard drafters take him, which is backwards for this profile. Reception formats are where whatever discount exists actually lives. The bet is on touchdown normalization and a second-year offense, not on anything the charting says improved.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Tyrone Tracy Jr. (knee) upgraded to limited Thursday — Tracy was able to return to practice on Thursday and put up a limited session after being sidelined on Wednesday. He seems likely to play in Week 4 but will likely not see much work on offense even if active against the Cardinals.","latest_at":"2026-10-01T20:51:36+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:00:26.048514+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.5,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"limited thursday; return to practice; likely to play; not see much work; knee","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-02T09:26:35.339948+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":3.4987386934308384,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":3.4987386934308384,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}