{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11646","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:56.614641+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11646","name":"Jalen Coker","team":"CAR","pos":"WR","age":25,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":46.7,"ros_ppg":12.72,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":12.715888888888891,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":127,"adp":146.0,"adp_pr":55,"ly":{"pts":71.9,"g":11,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":43.0,"receptions":33.0,"receiving_yards":394.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":14.9,"ppg":6.54,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.2,"ypr":11.9,"catch_pct":76.7,"total_yd":394.0,"ypg":35.8,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":22.0,"xfp":60.2,"xfp_diff":13.7,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":69.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0},"ytd":{"pts":67.9,"g":6,"through_week":8,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":44.0,"receptions":27.0,"receiving_yards":364.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":15.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":21.3,"ppg":11.32,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.3,"ypr":13.5,"catch_pct":61.4,"total_yd":364.0,"ypg":60.7,"touches":27.0,"first_downs":15.0,"xfp":62.8,"xfp_diff":5.1,"xfp_through_week":8,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":70.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.9,"rec_avg_cushion":6.58,"rec_adot":11.15,"rec_air_share":23.07,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.18,"rec_catch_pct":61.36,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11646","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:56.631159+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"On 43 targets in 2025, Coker did close to everything right: a 76.7% catch rate that ranked third among 84 qualified receivers, 9.2 yards per target in the 82nd percentile, zero drops, and a plus-11.7 beat of his expected points that landed in the 85th percentile. The problem is the denominator, since a 9% target share across 11 games is fringe usage and his 60-point expected total ranked 83rd of 123 wideouts, so none of that efficiency has been tested at volume. Carolina's early implied totals sit 24th, which won't inflate anyone's counting stats. His half-PPR ADP of 138 lines up almost exactly with a 124-point, WR56 consensus projection, so nobody is overpaying here. The pick amounts to a lottery ticket on the catch rate surviving a doubling of targets, and small-sample efficiency of this kind fails more often than it holds.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jalen Coker (quad) remains on track to return in Week 6 — This confirms a previous report from Monday. He was spotted practicing on Tuesday. ","latest_at":"2026-10-13T18:40:22+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":3.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"quad; return in week 6; spotted practicing; remains on track","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-14T09:11:24.916460+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":2.157182798348736,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}