{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11643","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:14.947910+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11643","name":"Jaylen Wright","team":"MIA","pos":"RB","age":23,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":3.91,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":3.9114000000000004,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":48,"adp":229.6,"adp_pr":65,"ly":{"pts":45.7,"g":9,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":70.0,"rushing_yards":288.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":9.0,"receptions":5.0,"receiving_yards":44.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":17.0,"receiving_first_downs":2.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":4.3,"ppg":5.08,"ypc":4.1,"ypt":4.9,"ypr":8.8,"catch_pct":55.6,"total_yd":332.0,"ypg":36.9,"touches":75.0,"first_downs":19.0,"xfp":54.8,"xfp_diff":-7.1,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":21.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":1.6,"rush_yac_att":2.51,"rush_broken_tackles":6.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":11.1},"ytd":{"pts":3.6,"g":5,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":20.0,"rushing_yards":36.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":1.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":2.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":0.9,"ppg":0.72,"ypc":1.8,"ypt":0.0,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":0.0,"total_yd":36.0,"ypg":7.2,"touches":20.0,"first_downs":2.0,"xfp":12.8,"xfp_diff":-9.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":13.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":100.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11643","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:14.955280+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Hardly anyone at the position ran behind less blocking than Jaylen Wright in 2025. His 1.6 yards before contact per carry ranked 56th of 61 qualified backs, and he still averaged 2.51 yards after contact, fifth-best in the league, about as clean a line-versus-runner split as the charting produces. He was creating his own yardage on nearly every carry because nothing was there when the ball arrived. The rest of the season line reads like a buried backup: 70 carries across nine games, a 2 percent target share, and 45.7 half-PPR points against 54.8 expected from his usage, an underperformance his after-contact work suggests wasn't really his doing. Turning that into a 2026 case runs straight into Miami, which sits 28th in implied team totals at 19.2 points a game, and into a consensus that only projects him RB69 on 80 carries. At pick 200 in half-PPR drafts he costs nothing, and he's the rare late back where the charting argues the runner is fine, the circumstances are the problem, and any real workload would land on a per-touch profile that already works.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jaylen Wright (foot) limited at practice Thursday — Wright is a new addition to Miami's injury report, being listed with a foot injury of some kind that left him limited at practice on Thursday. Fantasy managers should closely monitor his participation at practice on Friday, as Ollie Gordon II will be primed for a massive workload this week if Wright is unable to play against the Bengals on Sunday.","latest_at":"2026-10-08T21:52:34+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.5,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"limited at practice; new addition to injury report; foot injury; primed for massive workload; unable to play","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-09T09:27:10.656854+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-11","source":"curves-v1"}}}