{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11632","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:39.329621+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11632","name":"Malik Nabers","team":"NYG","pos":"WR","age":23,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":44.5,"ros_ppg":12.47,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":12.469222222222223,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":200,"adp":28.5,"adp_pr":11,"ly":{"pts":48.1,"g":4,"through_week":4,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":35.0,"receptions":18.0,"receiving_yards":271.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":11.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":28.7,"ppg":12.03,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.7,"ypr":15.1,"catch_pct":51.4,"total_yd":271.0,"ypg":67.8,"touches":18.0,"first_downs":11.0,"xfp":57.4,"xfp_diff":-9.3,"xfp_through_week":4,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":79.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.9},"ytd":{"pts":96.5,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":70.0,"receptions":48.0,"receiving_yards":605.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":27.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":30.0,"ppg":13.79,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.6,"ypr":12.6,"catch_pct":68.6,"total_yd":605.0,"ypg":86.4,"touches":48.0,"first_downs":27.0,"xfp":103.8,"xfp_diff":-7.3,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":75.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.99,"rec_avg_cushion":7.3,"rec_adot":11.65,"rec_air_share":36.72,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.43,"rec_catch_pct":68.57,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.9}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11632","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:39.376854+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"A second-round pick spent here is mostly paying for memory. Nabers played four games in 2025, and even that sliver was carried by one 33-point week, without which his scoring average falls from 12.0 to 5.0. The durable signal in the sample is volume, 8.8 targets a game, so the gravity hasn't gone anywhere, but there is no meaningful 2025 charting to evaluate and he brings a questionable tag into camp. Consensus lands at 187 half-PPR points, WR19, on 75 catches and roughly 1,014 yards. The market is far more aggressive, WR8 around pick 24 in standard formats and pick 19 in full PPR, a premium of roughly ten positional spots over the projection. That gap prices in a complete return of the age-22 talent, and the Giants' scoring environment, 18th by early implied totals, neither strengthens nor undercuts the case. The harder call is how much a healthy version nobody has watched in almost a year should cost against receivers with seventeen fresh games of evidence going two rounds later.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Malik Nabers (knee) will play Sunday  — Nabers is coming off a big performance last week against the Cardinals. He should remain in fantasy lineups this week. ","latest_at":"2026-10-09T17:53:38+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-10T19:00:24.170294+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"will play sunday; big performance; remain in fantasy lineups; knee","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-10T19:03:09.688830+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-09","source":"curves-v1"}}}