# Devontez Walker — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11629 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11629", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:18:36.451682+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "11629", "name": "Devontez Walker", "team": "BAL", "pos": "WR", "age": 25, "exp": 2, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 2.55, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 2.5492222222222227, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 53, "adp": 650.1, "adp_pr": 323, "ly": { "pts": 34.6, "g": 8, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 8.0, "receptions": 6.0, "receiving_yards": 136.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 5.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 4.1, "ppg": 4.33, "ypc": null, "ypt": 17.0, "ypr": 22.7, "catch_pct": 75.0, "total_yd": 136.0, "ypg": 17.0, "touches": 6.0, "first_downs": 5.0, "xfp": 16.7, "xfp_diff": 17.9, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 24.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 15.5, "g": 5, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 9.0, "receptions": 4.0, "receiving_yards": 75.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 6.4, "ppg": 3.1, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.3, "ypr": 18.8, "catch_pct": 44.4, "total_yd": 75.0, "ypg": 15.0, "touches": 4.0, "first_downs": 4.0, "xfp": 15.5, "xfp_diff": 0.0, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 46.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 11.1 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "11629", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:18:36.456835+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Three touchdowns on eight targets is nearly the entire Devontez Walker resume from 2025, and it produced the most inflated efficiency line in this range: 34.6 points against 16.7 expected, a 2.08 ratio no receiver sustains. Scoring at that rate on that volume is touchdown variance in its purest form, so the honest baseline is a 2 percent target share and a 24.7 percent snap rate, both bottom-of-the-pool numbers. The uniform is what keeps him on deep-league radars, since Baltimore carries the league's highest average implied team total at 27 points, and spare parts in a great offense fall into the end zone more often than they do elsewhere. His 29-point projection prices exactly that role, fifth on the depth chart with occasional deep-ball luck. Around pick 404 the cost matches the profile, as long as nobody mistakes last year's 4.3 points per game for a skill signal when the underlying opportunity was worth 2.1.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Devontez Walker (groin) off injury report for Week 3 — It looks like Walker will be a full go for Week 3, as he is no longer listed with the groin injury that gave him some problems earlier on in the season. He should play and will see more work than usual if Zay Flowers (hamstring) has to miss another game for Baltimore.", "latest_at": "2026-09-23T21:03:26+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-24T09:00:25.327693+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "off injury report; full go for week 3; see more work; zay flowers misses; groin injury", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-24T09:06:00.095151+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```