{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11628","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:38.294749+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11628","name":"Marvin Harrison Jr.","team":"HOU","pos":"WR","age":24,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.25,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.246666666666667,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":163,"adp":71.3,"adp_pr":31,"ly":{"pts":105.3,"g":12,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":73.0,"receptions":41.0,"receiving_yards":608.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":30.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.0,"ppg":8.78,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.3,"ypr":14.8,"catch_pct":56.2,"total_yd":608.0,"ypg":50.7,"touches":41.0,"first_downs":30.0,"xfp":117.0,"xfp_diff":-11.7,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":71.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.38,"rec_avg_cushion":4.93,"rec_adot":13.6,"rec_air_share":22.04,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.62,"rec_catch_pct":56.16,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.5},"ytd":{"pts":29.0,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":21.0,"receptions":9.0,"receiving_yards":125.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":9.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.1,"ppg":4.83,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.0,"ypr":13.9,"catch_pct":42.9,"total_yd":125.0,"ypg":20.8,"touches":9.0,"first_downs":9.0,"xfp":35.6,"xfp_diff":-6.6,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":55.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":1.73,"rec_avg_cushion":6.03,"rec_adot":16.46,"rec_air_share":17.28,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.05,"rec_catch_pct":42.86,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":9.5}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11628","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:38.323924+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Corners played Harrison tighter than almost anyone at the position last year, a 4.94-yard average cushion in the 4th percentile, and the results say he didn't consistently beat it, with 22nd-percentile separation and a 56 percent catch rate near the bottom of the qualified group. The usage stayed vertical, a 13.6-yard aDOT in the 86th percentile, and his 14.8 yards per reception ranked 14th of 84 qualifiers, so the per-catch payoff shows up whenever the ball actually arrives. Volume is the missing piece, 73 targets in 12 games and a fantasy total that ran about 12 points below what the usage alone should have produced. His seventh-round cost, pick 77 and WR33 in half-PPR, now sits within a couple of spots of his WR31 consensus projection, so the market has finally stopped charging a premium for the pedigree and started pricing the player in front of it. What you still have to underwrite is Arizona, which carries an 18.3 implied team total on early Vegas lines, 32nd of 32 teams. Even at an honest price, a breakout needs the Cardinals to score more than the oddsmakers currently think they will.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Marvin Harrison Jr. inactive for Week 5 — Harrison Jr. will not suit up while a trade continues to be finalized for the wideout, with Michael Wilson and Kendrick Bourne to lead the wide receiver group against a dismal Lions defense Sunday.","latest_at":"2026-10-11T18:58:36+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":1.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"inactive for week 5; will not suit up; trade continues to be finalized; michael wilson and kendrick bourne; dismal lions defense","llm_role_change":-1,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-11T19:00:25.126005+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":3.697937500856865,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}