{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11624","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:42.212022+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11624","name":"Xavier Worthy","team":"KC","pos":"WR","age":23,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":8.9,"ros_ppg":8.42,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":8.418400000000002,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":139,"adp":127.1,"adp_pr":51,"ly":{"pts":88.9,"g":14,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":11.0,"rushing_yards":87.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":73.0,"receptions":42.0,"receiving_yards":532.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":16.0,"ppg":6.35,"ypc":7.9,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":12.7,"catch_pct":57.5,"total_yd":619.0,"ypg":44.2,"touches":53.0,"first_downs":26.0,"xfp":111.3,"xfp_diff":-22.4,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":70.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.43,"rec_avg_cushion":6.28,"rec_adot":12.32,"rec_air_share":21.72,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.44,"rec_catch_pct":57.53,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":1.4},"ytd":{"pts":39.7,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":35.0,"receptions":24.0,"receiving_yards":217.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":10.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":19.6,"ppg":6.62,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.2,"ypr":9.0,"catch_pct":68.6,"total_yd":217.0,"ypg":36.2,"touches":24.0,"first_downs":10.0,"xfp":49.0,"xfp_diff":-9.3,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":82.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.62,"rec_avg_cushion":6.01,"rec_adot":8.48,"rec_air_share":26.71,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.42,"rec_catch_pct":68.57,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11624","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:42.284465+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Worthy's 2025 charting describes two different players at once. He got open at an elite rate, 3.46 yards of average separation in the 86th percentile, and almost never dropped a ball at 1.4%, yet he averaged 0.46 fewer YAC per reception than expected, a 12th-percentile mark, and caught one touchdown on 73 targets. All of it added up to 22 points below his expected half-PPR total, a gap in the 15th percentile, which is the zone rebound seasons tend to come from. His 11 carries were a 95th-percentile number for the position, so the designed-touch role is real too. Speed receivers who separate without creating after the catch lean hard on placement and play design, and an offense averaging a 24.9 implied total, tenth in the league, gives the regression somewhere to happen. Market cost is WR50 in half-PPR and WR54 in PPR against a WR46 consensus projection, with a questionable tag that currently carries no expected missed time. Drafters paying that price are mostly trusting that one touchdown on 73 targets won't happen twice.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Xavier Worthy finds end zone in overtime win Sunday — Worthy saw good involvement with seven targets on Sunday night, although he was only able to turn that into five catches for 25 yards against the Colts. He was able to score on one of those catches, however, which salvaged his night from a fantasy perspective. He should not be considered a strong option at the wide receiver position until we see some more consistent production from him.","latest_at":"2026-09-21T15:54:53+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-22T09:00:23.628001+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"good involvement; seven targets; score on one; not a strong option; consistent production","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-22T09:21:40.764012+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-08-24","source":"curves-v1"}}}