{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11620","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:42.273295+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11620","name":"Rome Odunze","team":"CHI","pos":"WR","age":24,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":16.3,"ros_ppg":9.34,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.343444444444446,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":174,"adp":62.6,"adp_pr":28,"ly":{"pts":124.1,"g":12,"through_week":13,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":90.0,"receptions":44.0,"receiving_yards":661.0,"receiving_tds":6.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":37.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":23.7,"ppg":10.34,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":15.0,"catch_pct":48.9,"total_yd":661.0,"ypg":55.1,"touches":44.0,"first_downs":37.0,"xfp":142.2,"xfp_diff":-18.1,"xfp_through_week":13,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":88.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.94,"rec_avg_cushion":6.46,"rec_adot":14.12,"rec_air_share":28.33,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.0,"rec_catch_pct":48.89,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.3},"ytd":{"pts":48.1,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":38.0,"receptions":24.0,"receiving_yards":381.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":17.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":17.0,"ppg":6.87,"ypc":null,"ypt":10.0,"ypr":15.9,"catch_pct":63.2,"total_yd":381.0,"ypg":54.4,"touches":24.0,"first_downs":17.0,"xfp":60.0,"xfp_diff":-9.9,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":85.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.48,"rec_avg_cushion":6.57,"rec_adot":13.64,"rec_air_share":35.07,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.39,"rec_catch_pct":63.16,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11620","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:42.290349+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Chicago never took Odunze off the field, an 88 percent snap share ranking top-eight at the position, and used him as a true downfield X with a 14.1-yard aDOT in the 92nd percentile, but the results trailed the role badly: he caught 48.9 percent of his 90 targets, a 7th-percentile rate, and finished 18 points below what the usage should have produced. When the ball did arrive he made it count, 15.0 yards a catch with an 80th-percentile YAC over expected, so the shortfall reads as deep-ball connection trouble rather than a talent ceiling. Six touchdowns in twelve games kept him at a respectable 10.3 points per game anyway. The 2026 consensus projects 178 points at WR23, leaning on 8.1 touchdowns, while standard-format rooms let him drift to WR30 around pick 68 in an offense whose implied totals rank eighth. A 24-year-old with locked-in snaps and premium target depth going seven spots below his own projection is the shape of a rebound pick, and the thing you're forgiving, one bad-conversion season, is the most fixable item on the list.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Rome Odunze goes for 44 yards in Week 3 — Odunze finished third on the Bears in targets and receiving yards but he was unable to find the end zone for the third straight game. The veteran wideout has been outproduced by both Luther Burden III and Kalif Raymond this season, catching just eight passes for 139 yards thus far through three games. He will be a fantasy flex option in Week 4 against the Jets.","latest_at":"2026-09-29T09:30:54+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-30T09:00:23.381086+00:00","llm_sentiment":0,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"fantasy flex option; third on bears; outproduced by; no end zone; 44 yards","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-30T09:14:42.367831+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-09-13","source":"curves-v1"}}}