{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11583","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:56.660314+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11583","name":"Jonathon Brooks","team":"CAR","pos":"RB","age":23,"exp":2,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.64,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.644111111111111,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":150,"adp":87.1,"adp_pr":34,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":8.3,"g":2,"through_week":2,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":9.0,"rushing_yards":30.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":3.0,"receptions":2.0,"receiving_yards":43.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":1.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":4.5,"ppg":4.15,"ypc":3.3,"ypt":14.3,"ypr":21.5,"catch_pct":66.7,"total_yd":73.0,"ypg":36.5,"touches":11.0,"first_downs":1.0,"xfp":9.4,"xfp_diff":-1.1,"xfp_through_week":2,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":24.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11583","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:56.679925+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Notice what's missing from Brooks's page: there is no 2025 stat line at all. The market is drafting pedigree and situation rather than a body of work, and doing it unevenly, taking him at RB39 (pick 112) in half-PPR while standard leagues let him fall to RB57 at pick 144. The consensus still believes to a point, projecting 155 carries, 25 catches, and RB41 points for a 22-year-old entering his second season, so the half-PPR price sits roughly at projection and the standard price runs well below it. With nothing from last season to check that ranking against, and a Carolina offense sitting 24th by early implied totals, the pick is a trust exercise in the ranking itself. He makes the most sense in reception formats and in deeper leagues, where a swing on a 22-year-old beats another veteran's known RB5 outcome.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jonathon Brooks (core) officially on IR — Brooks had core muscle surgery on Wednesday and will be out for at least four weeks on IR. The 23-year-old's timetable is actually projected to be around six weeks. Chuba Hubbard will continue to shoulder the load ouf of the backfield for the Panthers. ","latest_at":"2026-09-23T15:28:39+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-23T19:00:30.621499+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":5.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"officially on ir; core muscle surgery; out for at least four weeks; projected around six weeks; shoulder the load","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-23T19:14:29.699717+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}