{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11581","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:19:00.195231+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11581","name":"MarShawn Lloyd","team":"GB","pos":"RB","age":25,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.31,"games_left":8,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.308625000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":8},"proj":151,"adp":136.0,"adp_pr":44,"ly":null,"adv":null,"ytd":{"pts":45.3,"g":8,"through_week":8,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":57.0,"rushing_yards":149.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":17.0,"receptions":13.0,"receiving_yards":79.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":11.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":5.6,"ppg":5.66,"ypc":2.6,"ypt":4.6,"ypr":6.1,"catch_pct":76.5,"total_yd":228.0,"ypg":28.5,"touches":70.0,"first_downs":14.0,"xfp":56.8,"xfp_diff":-9.5,"xfp_through_week":8,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":35.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":12.28,"rush_time_to_los":2.82,"rush_ryoe_per_att":-1.53,"rush_efficiency":5.83,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.28,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":1.65,"rush_yac_att":0.98,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":11.8}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11581","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:19:00.224720+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Two seasons into his career, MarShawn Lloyd still has no fantasy resume to grade. There's no 2025 production line to point at and no charting data, just a roster spot that currently lists him second in the Green Bay backfield at age 25. The consensus projection treats him accordingly, RB73 with about 40 half-PPR points on 51 carries, and the market has drifted even lower, letting him sit around pick 214 where he goes undrafted in plenty of rooms. Both prices amount to the same statement, that a name and a depth chart slot with nothing measured behind them deserve close to nothing. The counterargument is the offense he's standing in: Green Bay ranks 11th in the league by implied team total at 24.8 points a game, so the roster spot carries some latent value if he ever turns it into snaps, and finding that out costs a final-round pick at most.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"MarShawn Lloyd will play in preseason — Stenavich said every day Lloyd is able to practice, he gets more confident his injury issues are fully behind him. He is competing the backup role in the Packers backfield. ","latest_at":"2026-08-05T17:00:03+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-06T10:00:02.136436+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"play in preseason; injury issues fully behind; competing backup role; able to practice","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-08-06T10:03:10.067978+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}