{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11576","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:42.037907+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11576","name":"Braelon Allen","team":"NYJ","pos":"RB","age":22,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.32,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.318444444444445,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":90,"adp":186.6,"adp_pr":57,"ly":{"pts":14.3,"g":4,"through_week":4,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":18.0,"rushing_yards":76.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":3.0,"receptions":2.0,"receiving_yards":17.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":1.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":2.9,"ppg":3.58,"ypc":4.2,"ypt":5.7,"ypr":8.5,"catch_pct":66.7,"total_yd":93.0,"ypg":23.2,"touches":20.0,"first_downs":5.0,"xfp":19.8,"xfp_diff":-3.5,"xfp_through_week":4,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":23.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":33.3},"ytd":{"pts":68.8,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":91.0,"rushing_yards":418.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":20.0,"receptions":15.0,"receiving_yards":75.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":24.0,"receiving_first_downs":4.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.2,"ppg":9.83,"ypc":4.6,"ypt":3.8,"ypr":5.0,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":493.0,"ypg":70.4,"touches":106.0,"first_downs":28.0,"xfp":73.0,"xfp_diff":-4.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":66.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":25.27,"rush_time_to_los":2.7,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.97,"rush_efficiency":3.61,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.51,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.41,"rush_yac_att":2.19,"rush_broken_tackles":9.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11576","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:42.063218+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"unavailable","news_inference":"unavailable","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Four games and 18 carries are all 2025 gave us on Allen, so last season settles very little. He is 22, entering his third year, listed second on the Jets' depth chart, and projected for 85.2 points at RB56, driven mostly by 4.3 projected rushing touchdowns on 106 carries. Market price agrees almost exactly, RB53 in standard and RB54 in half-PPR, and the context is where things turn discouraging. Vegas hands the Jets an 18.9-point average implied total, 30th in the league, and touchdown-dependent projections in scoring environments that poor tend to miss low, with just 12.9 projected catches offering no cushion when the scores don't come. Youth is the counterargument, since backs this young holding early-down roles sometimes jump in year three, and at pick 158 you risk almost nothing to find out.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":null,"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}