# Jayden Daniels — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11566 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11566", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.844993+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "11566", "name": "Jayden Daniels", "team": "WAS", "pos": "QB", "age": 25, "exp": 2, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 26.9, "ros_ppg": 16.9, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 16.903660000000002, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 311, "adp": 69.4, "adp_pr": 6, "ly": { "pts": 112.3, "g": 7, "through_week": 14, "passing_yards": 1262.0, "passing_tds": 8.0, "interceptions": 3.0, "carries": 58.0, "rushing_yards": 278.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 59.0, "rushing_first_downs": 15.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 2.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 16.04, "ypc": 4.8, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 1540.0, "ypg": 220.0, "touches": 58.0, "first_downs": 15.0, "xfp": 36.2, "xfp_diff": 3.6, "xfp_through_week": 14, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 90.3, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.79, "pass_adot": 7.61, "pass_aggressiveness": 12.77, "pass_cpoe": -3.67, "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.27, "pass_rating": 88.12, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": 2.88, "rush_yac_att": 1.91, "rush_broken_tackles": 4.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 16.7, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 14.6, "rec_drop_pct": null }, "ytd": { "pts": 83.7, "g": 4, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 759.0, "passing_tds": 5.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 25.0, "rushing_yards": 213.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 38.0, "rushing_first_downs": 10.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 20.93, "ypc": 8.5, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 972.0, "ypg": 243.0, "touches": 25.0, "first_downs": 10.0, "xfp": 13.3, "xfp_diff": 20.0, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 88.8, "pass_time_to_throw": 2.94, "pass_adot": 8.57, "pass_aggressiveness": 13.79, "pass_cpoe": 3.46, "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.54, "pass_rating": 97.59, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": 22.2, "pass_bad_throw_pct": 15.2, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "11566", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.847447+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Daniels barely got touched in 2025 and still could not find completions. A 16.7 percent pressure rate was among the lowest at the position, which removes the easiest excuse for a CPOE in the 10th percentile and a passer rating in the 25th. Seven injury-interrupted games is a small sample, but bad accuracy behind good protection is the least flattering version of a down year. The rushing held its shape, 8.3 carries and 39.7 yards a game, with a 90th percentile yards-after-contact rate against a 10th percentile before-contact number, a runner creating essentially everything on his own. His price has drifted to QB5 at pick 64 while the consensus projection keeps him QB3 on a 685-rush-yard forecast, so the market sits well below the models here. Washington ranks seventeenth in early implied totals and opens as a 5.5-point road underdog in Philadelphia, which does the outlook no favors. The rushing floor does most of the work holding his value up, and the question worth tracking through camp is whether the passing accuracy rebounds with health.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jayden Daniels (elbow) still not '100 percent' healthy — Daniels is still slated to play on Sunday against the Giants, but re-injury risk is a bit of a concern. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-10T05:06:55+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "still not 100 percent; slated to play; re-injury risk; elbow", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-12T09:06:22.775138+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.21601620415637, "as_of": "2026-10-12", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```