{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11565","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:47.706198+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11565","name":"J.J. 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News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Few quarterbacks produced a stranger 2025 line than McCarthy. He attacked downfield with a 9.33 aDOT in the 96th percentile, held the ball over three seconds, aimed past the sticks on average, and chipped in four rushing touchdowns with an 88th percentile broken-tackle count in ten games, an aggressive style by almost every measure. The execution ran near the bottom of the league, with a minus 5.16 CPOE that ranked 33rd of 34 qualifiers, a 72.6 passer rating in the 4th percentile, a 20 percent bad-throw rate, and 12 interceptions against 11 touchdown passes. A 90th percentile pressure rate explains some of it, though holding the ball that long invites a share of that pressure. Minnesota now lists him second on the depth chart and the consensus projection has collapsed to about 24 points, QB37, yet drafters still spend pick 226 on him as the QB29 in half-PPR. That price bets the demotion reverses in camp while paying as if it already had. The downfield aggression and the rushing production keep him worth monitoring, since a profile this extreme tends to move sharply in one direction or the other once the accuracy question resolves.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"J.J. McCarthy traded to Giants — McCarthy's tenure in Minnesota was a rocky one, with injuries and underperformance plaguing the start of his career. However, he may find more opportunity in New York due to the absence of Jaxson Dart and the team's interest in possibly giving McCarthy a shot at the starting job; otherwise, he will serve as Jameis Winston's backup. He can stay on the fantasy waiver wire unless he lands the starting job. 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